A Look At Highwoods Properties (HIW) Valuation After The Bridgestone Tower Sale Announcement
Highwoods Properties, Inc. HIW | 0.00 |
Highwoods Properties (HIW) has drawn investor attention after agreeing to sell Bridgestone Tower, a fully leased Nashville office property, for US$255 million, with the deal expected to generate a sizable non-FFO gain.
The sale news lands at a time when momentum in the stock has been rebuilding, with a 30 day share price return of 15.68% and a 90 day share price return of 18.20%, even as the 1 year total shareholder return declined 6.31% and the 5 year total shareholder return declined 16.19%.
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With HIW trading close to its analyst target and recent returns picking up after longer term declines, the key question is whether the intrinsic discount signals undervaluation or if the market is already pricing in future growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 1% Undervalued
Highwoods Properties' fair value narrative of $26.22 sits just above the last close at $26.04. The small gap puts the focus on the assumptions that support that estimate rather than a big pricing mismatch.
Analysts expect earnings to reach $91.9 million (and earnings per share of $0.45) by about April 2029, down from $157.3 million today. However, there is some disagreement amongst the analysts with the more bearish ones expecting earnings as low as $79.6 million.
Want to see what keeps fair value close to the current price even with earnings projected lower and margins thinner, while the assumed future earnings multiple stretches higher than the sector?
Result: Fair Value of $26.22 (UNDERVALUED)
However, there are still clear risks, including structurally weaker office demand from remote work and the need for ongoing, heavy capital spending on aging properties.
Next Steps
Mixed signals on value and earnings can split opinion. If you care about timing your decisions, review the 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
