A Look At NNN REIT (NNN) Valuation After Raised 2026 Guidance And Solid First Quarter Results
NNN REIT, Inc. NNN | 0.00 |
NNN REIT (NNN) just posted its first quarter 2026 results, reporting revenue of US$240.01 million, earnings per share of US$0.87, and management raising full year AFFO and Core FFO guidance.
Following the guidance raise and solid first quarter metrics, NNN REIT’s share price has gained 6.03% over the past 90 days and delivered an 11.50% 1 year total shareholder return, suggesting momentum has been building rather than fading.
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With the shares up double digits over the past year and trading only slightly below the average analyst price target, is NNN REIT still offering value or are markets already pricing in all of its future growth potential?
Most Popular Narrative: 3.3% Undervalued
At a last close of $43.95 versus a narrative fair value of $45.43, NNN REIT is framed as slightly undervalued, with that gap hinging on measured growth and income assumptions.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $45.43 for NNN REIT based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
In order for you to agree with the analysts, you would need to believe that by 2029, revenues will be $1.1 billion, earnings will come to $454.0 million, and it would be trading on a PE ratio of 24.8x, assuming you use a discount rate of 8.2%.
Want to see what is built into that mid $40s fair value? The narrative leans on steady revenue gains, firm margins, and a future earnings multiple that assumes consistent execution, not hyper growth.
Result: Fair Value of $45.43 (UNDERVALUED)
However, there are still pressure points to watch, including tenant bankruptcies that could raise vacancies and higher financing costs that may make new acquisitions less attractive.
Next Steps
Seeing both risks and rewards in the story so far, and wondering how it all stacks up for you personally? Take a closer look at the underlying data, stress test your own assumptions, and then weigh those insights against the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.
Looking for more investment ideas?
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- Target resilient income by reviewing companies we highlight as potential 13 dividend fortresses that may appeal if dependable payouts matter to you.
- Hunt for quality at a sensible price by checking companies that appear in the 50 high quality undervalued stocks, if you are weighing price against fundamentals.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
