United Parks & Resorts (PRKS) has been in the spotlight after reporting lower fourth quarter and full year 2025 revenue and net income, along with delays to its upcoming 10 K filing.

The latest earnings miss, heavy buyback activity and 10 K delay come against a weak share price backdrop. The 1 year total shareholder return is 30.15% and the 3 year total shareholder return is 40.26%, while recent 1 month and year to date share price returns of 7.59% and 5.52% suggest momentum has been fading rather than building.

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With earnings under pressure, heavy buybacks and a delayed 10 K, the shares now trade at a discount to analyst targets and some intrinsic value estimates. Is this a genuine value opportunity, or has the market already priced in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 22.4% Undervalued

Compared to United Parks & Resorts' last close at $34.22, the most followed narrative points to a fair value of $44.09, built on detailed earnings and margin assumptions.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $57.455 for United Parks & Resorts based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $81.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $46.0.

Want to see what sits behind that wide spread of targets? Revenue, earnings and margins are all carefully mapped out. The key details are in the full narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $44.09 (UNDERVALUED)

However, that upside case leans heavily on Orlando attendance and recurring pass revenue. Both are exposed to weather shocks and softer demand that could quickly test the thesis.

Next Steps

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.