Adaptive Biotechnologies Q1 revenue beats estimates on MRD growth

Adaptive Biotechnologies

Adaptive Biotechnologies

ADPT

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Overview

  • U.S. biotechnology firm's Q1 revenue rose 35% yr/yr, beating analyst expectations

  • Q1 adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed

  • Company raised full-year MRD revenue guidance on accelerating adoption


Outlook

  • Adaptive Biotechnologies raises 2026 MRD revenue guidance to $260 mln-$270 mln

  • Company expects 2026 total operating expenses of $350 mln-$360 mln

  • No revenue guidance provided for Immune Medicine business


Result Drivers

  • MRD GROWTH - MRD business revenue grew 53% yr/yr, driven by increased adoption in clinical testing and drug development

  • TEST VOLUME INCREASE - clonoSEQ test volume rose 41% yr/yr to 32,595 tests delivered

  • MILESTONE REVENUE - Recognized $9.0 mln in MRD pharma regulatory milestone revenue, the first U.S. primary endpoint milestone


Company press release: ID:nGNXb5CYNV


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Revenue

Beat

$70.87 mln

$60.85 mln (7 Analysts)

Q1 EPS

-$0.13

Q1 Net Income

-$20.02 mln

Q1 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

-$2.50 mln

-$6.55 mln (5 Analysts)

Q1 Operating Expenses

$90.08 mln

Q1 Operating Income

-$19.21 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 7 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the biotechnology & medical research peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp is $21.00, about 44.8% above its May 4 closing price of $14.50


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