ADMA Biologics (ADMA) After Strong Q2 Results And Reaffirmed Guidance Is It A Bargain
ADMA Biologics, Inc. ADMA | 0.00 |
ADMA Biologics (ADMA) stock is back in focus after the company reported second quarter 2026 results, highlighted by US$124.4 million in sales and US$37.82 million in net income, along with reaffirmed full year revenue guidance.
At a share price of US$9.54, ADMA Biologics has seen a 1 month share price return of 9.53% and a 3 month share price return of 11.45%. However, the year to date share price return is down 46.64%, while the 5 year total shareholder return is over 6x. This suggests that long term holders have experienced very different outcomes from recent short term sentiment around the latest earnings and ongoing legal investigations.
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After ADMA Biologics climbed on solid quarterly numbers yet remains sharply down for the year, the decision is whether to step in after this bounce or stay patient for a potentially cheaper entry as valuation comes into focus next.
Most Popular Narrative: 46% Undervalued
ADMA Biologics last closed at $9.54, while the most followed narrative anchors fair value at $17.60 using a 7.28% discount rate and a detailed earnings path.
Analysts expect earnings to reach $330.4 million (and earnings per share of $1.36) by about June 2029, up from $165.4 million today. However, there is a considerable amount of disagreement amongst the analysts with the most bullish expecting $400.8 million in earnings, and the most bearish expecting $274.8 million.
Want to see what underpins that step change in earnings for ADMA Biologics? The narrative leans on compounding revenue growth, rising margins, and a richer future earnings multiple.
According to the most popular narrative, the gap between the current share price and the $17.60 fair value hinges on how quickly revenue compounds, how far profit margins extend, and what P/E multiple the market is willing to pay on those future earnings. Analysts in that framework are also assuming a gradual reduction in share count and using that 7.28% discount rate to bring everything back to today's dollars. The result is a valuation that disagrees with recent price performance yet still rests entirely on a specific set of cash flow and earnings assumptions that investors can scrutinize.
Result: Fair Value of $17.60 (UNDERVALUED)
However, that upside narrative for ADMA Biologics still hinges on successful execution of its yield enhancement process and on avoiding major setbacks from product concentration or legal scrutiny.
Next Steps
With sentiment clearly split on ADMA Biologics, it can be helpful to act quickly and review the numbers yourself before views shift again. To see exactly what optimism is based on, review the 3 key rewards
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
