Albany International (AIN) TTM Loss Challenges Bullish Margin Expansion Narratives After FY 2025 Results
Albany International Corp. Class A AIN | 52.86 52.86 | +1.15% 0.00% Pre |
Albany International (AIN) has just closed out FY 2025 with Q4 revenue of US$321.2 million and basic EPS of US$0.49, alongside net income of US$13.9 million. The latest trailing twelve month figures show total revenue of US$1.18 billion and a net loss of US$57.3 million, equal to basic EPS of US$1.94. Over recent quarters, the company has reported revenue in a range from US$261.4 million to US$321.2 million, with basic EPS moving from a loss of US$3.37 in Q3 2025 to a profit of US$0.49 in Q4 2025. This puts the focus squarely on how sustainable these margin shifts might be.
See our full analysis for Albany International.With the latest earnings on the table, the next step is to set these margin trends against the most widely held narratives about Albany and see which stories the numbers really support.
Loss-Making Year Despite US$1.18b In Sales
- On a trailing twelve month basis Albany generated US$1.18b in revenue but recorded a net loss of US$57.3 million, moving from net income of US$77.7 million a year earlier to a loss at the latest FY 2025 mark.
- Consensus narrative highlights growth in sustainable packaging and aerospace composites as key supports for future margins. However, the shift from trailing net income of US$87.6 million in late 2024 to a loss of US$57.3 million today shows that recent execution and program ramp costs are still weighing on the story.
- Analysts talk about operating margin expansion from automation and supply chain projects, while the trailing basic EPS has swung from US$3.22 in 2024 Q3 to a loss per share of US$1.94 over the latest twelve months.
- The same consensus view expects earnings to reach US$181.1 million by around 2028. The current loss profile is a clear contrast that you may want to factor in when you think about how smooth that path could be.
Q3 Swing Drives EPS Volatility
- Within FY 2025, basic EPS has moved from US$0.56 in Q1 to US$0.31 in Q2, a loss of US$3.37 in Q3 and back to a profit of US$0.49 in Q4, with Q3’s US$97.8 million loss standing out versus the other quarters that each reported net income between about US$9 million and US$17 million.
- Bulls argue that ongoing plant consolidations and composite program ramps will support stronger margins over time, but the sharp Q3 loss and then return to modest profitability in Q4 suggest that program timing and cost estimates, including the large EAC adjustments referenced in the narratives, can still make quarterly results quite lumpy.
- For example, the trailing twelve month basic EPS moved from US$3.22 at 2024 Q3 to US$2.02 at 2025 Q2, before sliding into a loss of US$1.94 by 2025 Q4. That pattern is very different from the smoother margin lift that bullish forecasts often assume.
- At the same time, bulls point to forecast earnings growth of around 103.56% per year and a path back to profitability, so this kind of volatility is exactly what you might compare against those more optimistic multi year expectations.
P/S Looks Low While DCF Flags Caution
- Albany trades on a P/S of 1.3x, which sits below both the peer average of 1.8x and the US Machinery industry at 2.2x. However, the current share price of US$54.83 is above a DCF fair value of about US$34.11 and the allowed analyst price target of US$55.25, all while the company is loss making on a trailing basis.
- Bears focus on the combination of rising losses, high debt and a dividend yield of 2.04% that is not covered by current earnings, and the gap between the US$54.83 share price and the DCF fair value of US$34.11, plus the single allowed target of US$55.25, lines up with that cautious stance.
- The risk summary points to losses having widened at about 21.7% per year over five years, which fits with the current trailing net loss of US$57.3 million despite more than US$1.18b in sales.
- With revenue forecasts in this data set calling for around a 1.8% annual decline over the next three years, bears argue that a P/S discount alone may not offset concerns about leverage and weak dividend coverage at today’s price.
Next Steps
To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Albany International on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
If this combination of caution and optimism seems contradictory, that is exactly why it may be worth examining the numbers yourself and forming a clear view, starting with 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs.
Explore Alternatives
Albany International is currently loss making on a trailing basis, with volatile EPS and concerns around leverage and dividend coverage despite US$1.18b in revenue.
If that mix of earnings volatility, debt concerns and uncovered dividends feels uncomfortable, you may want to shift your focus toward 78 resilient stocks with low risk scores that aim to prioritise sturdier balance sheets and steadier fundamentals.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
