Assessing Borr Drilling (NYSE:BORR) Valuation After Wider Q1 Losses And Fleet Expansion
Borr Drilling Limited BORR | 0.00 |
Borr Drilling (BORR) is back in focus after reporting Q1 2026 results that paired higher revenue of US$247 million with a wider net loss of US$29 million, reflecting delayed rig start ups and increased costs.
The stock has pulled back sharply in the past week, with a 7 day share price return of down 16.5% and a 90 day share price return of down 9.2%. However, the year to date share price return of 38.4% and a very large 1 year total shareholder return of 236.6% point to positive longer term momentum as investors weigh wider recent losses against fleet growth, new contracts and the shift to Oslo Børs.
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With Borr Drilling trading close to analyst price targets yet showing a very large 1 year return and a wide recent loss, is this an overlooked value story or a stock where the market already prices in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 5.4% Undervalued
The most followed narrative puts Borr Drilling's fair value at $5.84, slightly above the last close of $5.52, which frames the recent sell off in a different light.
The valuation seems to price in that Borr Drilling's strong recent contract momentum, particularly in Mexico, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, will translate into persistently high day rates and utilization; this view may underestimate the lingering risks from oversupply in the jack up market and the increased volume of transitional or short duration contracts, which could compress both future revenues and margins if the anticipated demand does not fully materialize.
Want to see what sits behind that confidence in future contracts and margins? The narrative leans on specific growth, margin and valuation assumptions that may surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $5.84 (UNDERVALUED)
However, investors still need to factor in high leverage, which could redirect fresh capital toward debt service, and the risk that tighter environmental rules lift operating costs.
Another View: Earnings Multiple Raises the Bar
While the SWS model points to Borr Drilling trading at a large discount to its future cash flow value of $21.12, the current P/E of 51.6x paints a tougher picture. It sits well above the 26.9x industry average, the 14.2x peer average, and even the 41.4x fair ratio. This suggests less room for error if earnings or sentiment slip.
Next Steps
With sentiment clearly split between recent losses and strong past returns, it makes sense to move fast and check the full picture for yourself. You can start with 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
