Assessing TG Therapeutics (TGTX) Valuation After BRIUMVI Growth Guidance And Pipeline Updates
TG Therapeutics, Inc. TGTX | 33.53 | -0.15% |
TG Therapeutics (TGTX) is back in focus after management reaffirmed its 2026 revenue guidance for BRIUMVI, highlighted rapid physician uptake in multiple sclerosis, and noted a busy schedule of pipeline readouts in the coming years.
Despite strong 2025 results and the recent azer cel milestone, TG Therapeutics’ 7 day share price return of 6.05% and 90 day share price return of 5.62% point to fading near term momentum, while the 3 year total shareholder return of 73.52% contrasts with a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 17.51%.
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So with TG Therapeutics trading around US$29.03 after a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 17.51% but a 3 year total shareholder return of 73.52%, is the recent weakness a reset that offers upside, or is the market already factoring in potential future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 35% Undervalued
With TG Therapeutics last closing at $29.03 versus a narrative fair value of $44.43, the current market price sits well below that central estimate, and the gap hinges on how investors see BRIUMVI’s long term potential and the broader pipeline.
The planned launch of subcutaneous (subcu) BRIUMVI is a significant upcoming catalyst, as it could unlock access to 35-40% of the anti-CD20 MS market segment currently dominated by self-administered therapies, greatly increasing BRIUMVI's addressable market and supporting long-term revenue growth.
Curious what kind of revenue ramp, margin profile and future earnings multiple are baked into that $44.43 fair value and discount rate assumptions? The full narrative walks through how faster top line growth, rising profitability and a rerating in the earnings multiple are combined to justify a value well above today’s price.
Result: Fair Value of $44.43 (UNDERVALUED)
However, the story can change quickly if BRIUMVI underperforms expectations, or if rival MS therapies and pricing pressure start to squeeze volumes and margins.
Next Steps
With sentiment on TG Therapeutics clearly mixed, this is the moment to look through the full picture yourself and act on your own judgment, starting with 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
