BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/JPY keeps failing to close below key levels
May 7 (Reuters) - USD/JPY failures below key technical levels are bullish signs in a market that is otherwise overshadowed by intervention risks.
The dollar remained on the defensive on Thursday as hopes for a de-escalation in the Iran-U.S. war supported oil-exposed currencies, while Tokyo resumed its verbal intervention in support of the yen, keeping speculators cautious. However, there are signs on the daily chart that USD/JPY could stage a sustained recovery in the days ahead.
USD/JPY has in recent sessions failed four times to close below the base of the Ichimoku daily cloud, which currently spans the 156.29-158.62 region. Spot has also failed to sustain four breaks below the 155.50 Fibonacci level, a 61.8% retrace of the 152.28 to 160.72 (February to April) EBS rise.
These repeated downside failures below these technical levels are potential bear traps, which occur when prices break a technical level but quickly reverse and are typically bullish. Related comment.

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