BXP (BXP) stock is in focus after the company signed a long term lease with Boston Dynamics for about 320,000 square feet at Reservoir Place in Waltham, Massachusetts.

The Boston Dynamics agreement lands at a time when BXP’s share price has gained 11.21% over the past month and 33.56% over the past 90 days, while the 1 year total shareholder return stands at 5.20% and the 3 year total shareholder return is 37.82%. This suggests momentum has been building recently, even though the 5 year total shareholder return shows a 23.26% decline.

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With BXP now trading near its analyst price target and carrying an estimated 21.51% intrinsic discount, the key question is whether current optimism leaves upside on the table or if the stock already reflects future growth.

Most Popular Narrative: 0% Overvalued

The most followed narrative for BXP pegs fair value at $69.05, which is almost identical to the last close at $69.32, so the focus shifts to what is baked into that number.

BXP's aggressive capital recycling and asset sales strategy (targeting $600 million in non-core dispositions), along with redevelopment and adaptive reuse of assets for mixed-use and multifamily, is expected to unlock higher-yielding income streams, fortify net margins, and provide non-dilutive funding for growth, supporting future FFO and earnings resilience.

Want to see what keeps this BXP narrative near fair value? The heart of the model is a specific revenue glide path and profit profile that justifies a rich forward earnings multiple.

Result: Fair Value of $69.05 (ABOUT RIGHT)

However, BXP still faces pressure from softer office demand and limited life science leasing, which could keep occupancy and rent growth below the narrative’s assumptions.

Another View on BXP’s Valuation

While the most followed BXP narrative lands close to the current share price, our DCF model points in a different direction, with BXP trading at a 21.5% discount to an estimated future cash flow value of $88.31. If that gap persists, which story will the market lean toward next?

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out BXP for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 44 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

If the split sentiment on BXP has you thinking, this is the moment to review the underlying numbers yourself and decide how convincing each side really is. Then weigh both the concerns and the potential upside with the help of 2 key rewards and 4 important warning signs

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.