Cal-Maine Foods Q4 revenue falls 50%, misses estimates on egg price decline

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.

Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.

CALM

0.00


Overview

  • U.S. egg producer's Q4 revenue fell nearly 50% yr/yr, missing analyst expectations

  • Q4 adjusted EPS and net income both negative and missed analyst expectations

  • Company attributes weak results to industry oversupply and historically low egg prices


Outlook

  • Company expects improving supply-demand balance to support stronger egg pricing in coming months

  • Expansion of Eggland’s Best franchise territory expected to boost Specialty Shell Egg volume by about 5% annually

  • Prepared Foods production capacity projected to rise over 60% from end of fiscal 2026 to first half of fiscal 2028


Result Drivers

  • EGG PRICE DECLINE - Co said industry oversupply drove wholesale shell egg prices to historically low inflation-adjusted levels, significantly reducing revenue and margins

  • CONVENTIONAL EGG PRICING - Average selling price per dozen for conventional shell eggs fell 70.9% in Q4, with volume up 3.1%, indicating lower results were driven by pricing, not demand

  • PREPARED FOODS PERFORMANCE - Improved utilization and fixed-cost absorption from network optimization and expansion initiatives led to stronger operating performance and sequential margin improvement in prepared foods


Company press release: ID:nGNX3LMY1N


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

$552.58 mln

$563.83 mln (4 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

Miss

-$0.76

$0.08 (4 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

Miss

-$35.88 mln

$3.83 mln (3 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the fishing & farming peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Cal-Maine Foods Inc is $80.13, about 8.2% below its July 21 closing price of $87.25

  • The stock recently traded at 30 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 16 three months ago


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  • July 21 - Global caterers ride first-time outsourcing wave as food prices rise


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