Cal-Maine Foods Q4 revenue falls 50%, misses estimates on egg price decline
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. CALM | 0.00 |
Overview
U.S. egg producer's Q4 revenue fell nearly 50% yr/yr, missing analyst expectations
Q4 adjusted EPS and net income both negative and missed analyst expectations
Company attributes weak results to industry oversupply and historically low egg prices
Outlook
Company expects improving supply-demand balance to support stronger egg pricing in coming months
Expansion of Eggland’s Best franchise territory expected to boost Specialty Shell Egg volume by about 5% annually
Prepared Foods production capacity projected to rise over 60% from end of fiscal 2026 to first half of fiscal 2028
Result Drivers
EGG PRICE DECLINE - Co said industry oversupply drove wholesale shell egg prices to historically low inflation-adjusted levels, significantly reducing revenue and margins
CONVENTIONAL EGG PRICING - Average selling price per dozen for conventional shell eggs fell 70.9% in Q4, with volume up 3.1%, indicating lower results were driven by pricing, not demand
PREPARED FOODS PERFORMANCE - Improved utilization and fixed-cost absorption from network optimization and expansion initiatives led to stronger operating performance and sequential margin improvement in prepared foods
Company press release: ID:nGNX3LMY1N
Key Details
Metric |
Beat/Miss |
Actual |
Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue |
Miss |
$552.58 mln |
$563.83 mln (4 Analysts) |
Q4 EPS |
Miss |
-$0.76 |
$0.08 (4 Analysts) |
Q4 Net Income |
Miss |
-$35.88 mln |
$3.83 mln (3 Analysts) |
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the fishing & farming peer group is "buy."
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Cal-Maine Foods Inc is $80.13, about 8.2% below its July 21 closing price of $87.25
The stock recently traded at 30 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 16 three months ago
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