Charles Schwab (SCHW) Stock Could Be 11% Below Fair Value Following July Asset Growth

Charles Schwab Corp

Charles Schwab Corp

SCHW

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Charles Schwab stock has almost doubled over the past three years, and the valuation checks now point to a more balanced picture. The Excess Returns intrinsic value estimate suggests the shares trade at a modest discount, while traditional market multiples look broadly in line with peers.

  • Schwab’s 96.8% return over three years puts the recent share performance in focus and raises the question of how much upside may already be reflected in the price.
  • Strong recent client activity and product launches such as new account opening integrations and Single Stock Futures can support longer term earnings power, while ongoing litigation and funding related concerns may limit how much investors are willing to pay for that potential.
  • On a broader set of checks, a mixed value score points to Charles Schwab being neither a clear bargain nor clearly expensive at current levels, which suggests investors need to be selective about the assumptions they rely on.

The issue now is whether the current market price of Charles Schwab already reflects the intrinsic value suggested by these models or still leaves a reasonable margin for valuation upside.

Scan beyond Charles Schwab and compare its run to a hand picked list of 49 high quality undervalued stocks that may also be pricing in growth expectations.

Does Charles Schwab Look Undervalued on Excess Returns?

The Excess Returns model examines how much value Charles Schwab creates above its estimated cost of equity. It focuses on returns generated on shareholders’ capital rather than only on reported earnings.

For Charles Schwab, the model uses a book value of $25.42 per share and a stable EPS estimate of $7.45 per share, based on weighted future Return on Equity inputs from 5 analysts. With an average Return on Equity of 23.32% and a cost of equity of $2.77 per share, the implied excess return of $4.69 per share points to meaningful value creation on a stable book value base of $31.96 per share. This stream of excess returns translates into an intrinsic value estimate of $126.48 per share, which compares to a current share price that the model indicates is about 11.2% lower.

Because July 2026 asset growth and new account opening integrations are associated with continued client engagement, the market discount to the Excess Returns value is presented as reflecting investor caution around funding and litigation risks rather than an absence of earnings power.

On this Excess Returns view, Charles Schwab stock is described as screening as undervalued.

Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Charles Schwab is undervalued by 11.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 49 more high quality undervalued stocks.

SCHW Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2026
SCHW Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2026

Where Does Charles Schwab Sit on Earnings?

The P/E ratio is a useful lens for Charles Schwab because earnings and return on equity are central to how investors assess large brokerage and capital markets platforms.

On this measure, Charles Schwab trades on a P/E of 20.0x, which sits well below the Capital Markets industry average of 39.0x and the stated peer average of 30.4x. A tailored fair P/E ratio for the stock is estimated at 20.0x, based on its mix of profitability, size and risk factors. That puts the current multiple very close to where this framework suggests it might reasonably trade.

The gap to broader industry and peer averages indicates investors are not paying a premium multiple for Charles Schwab despite its current profile, yet the fair ratio check implies the stock is not obviously cheap either. For readers comparing brokers, this points to a P/E that aligns with company specific fundamentals rather than headline sector benchmarks.

On the P/E multiple, Charles Schwab appears roughly fairly valued at current levels.

NYSE:SCHW P/E Ratio as at Aug 2026
NYSE:SCHW P/E Ratio as at Aug 2026

The Charles Schwab Narrative: What Would Justify Today's Price?

Simply Wall St Narratives for Charles Schwab connect the valuation checks above with the underlying story that would need to play out on growth, margins and earnings for the stock to be worth materially more or less than today's price. These narratives sit on the company’s Community page. Instead of a single output from a ratio or model, they describe the future that figure relies on so you can monitor whether those conditions still hold over time.

Community views on Charles Schwab are split between a patient compounding story and concern that recent strength already prices in a lot of optimism.

Bull case: 9% undervalued

"The real upside for Schwab isn’t tied to one quarter or one rate cut, it lies in the slow, steady expansion of participation in capital markets..."

Bear case: 11% overvalued

"Heavy investment in AI, technology and new platforms such as spot crypto could overshoot sustainable demand, which may lead to structurally higher run-rate technology and personnel spending that compresses operating leverage and erodes pretax margins..."

Do you think there's more to the story for Charles Schwab? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

The Bottom Line

For Charles Schwab, the Excess Returns intrinsic value estimate points to an undervalued stock, while the P/E framework says the current multiple already looks about right for its profile. That gap mainly reflects how the intrinsic value view leans on long run earnings power, while the market multiple is anchored to what investors currently pay for similar brokers. The crux for you is whether funding and litigation risks stay manageable enough for that earnings power to come through. If they do, today’s discount may look attractive. If they bite harder, the apparent value could prove to be a value trap.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.