Cisco Systems (CSCO) Q3 EPS Jump Tests Bullish AI And Subscription Narratives
Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO | 0.00 |
Cisco Systems (CSCO) has just posted Q3 2026 results with revenue of US$15.8b and basic EPS of US$0.85, setting the tone for another data heavy quarter on both the top and bottom lines. The company has seen quarterly revenue move from US$14.1b in Q2 2025 to US$15.8b in Q3 2026, while basic EPS has stepped from US$0.61 to US$0.85 over the same stretch, giving you a clear view of how the income statement has been scaling. With net profit margin running higher than a year ago and earnings growth outpacing revenue on a trailing basis, this update keeps the focus squarely on how efficiently Cisco is turning sales into profit.
See our full analysis for Cisco Systems.With the latest numbers on the table, the next step is to see how they line up against the big narratives investors follow around Cisco, from growth potential to risks and income appeal.
Margins Backed by US$11.9b TTM Profit
- On a trailing basis, Cisco earned US$11.9b in net income on US$60.7b of revenue, which lines up with a 19.7% net profit margin compared with 17.6% a year earlier.
- Analysts' consensus view links this margin strength to Cisco's push into higher margin areas such as software, subscriptions and AI focused networking. However, the five year earnings trend, which declined about 1.6% per year, shows that the recent 22.2% earnings growth is still working against a weaker longer term track record.
- Consensus narrative points to recurring product revenue and security offerings as supports for margin stability, which is consistent with the 19.7% trailing margin but contrasts with the longer period of earnings pressure.
- The 22.2% trailing earnings growth together with the higher margin suggests the recent product mix is helping profitability, while the earlier five year decline keeps attention on how durable this shift proves to be.
TTM EPS at US$3.02 Tests Bullish Growth Story
- Trailing twelve month basic EPS is US$3.02, up from US$2.29 a year earlier, while earnings over that period grew 22.2% compared with forecast earnings growth of about 13.3% per year and revenue growth of about 6.9% per year.
- Bulls argue that accelerating AI infrastructure demand and rising subscription revenue can support durable earnings expansion, and the recent numbers partly back that up while also setting a higher bar.
- Consensus narrative highlights AI optimized networking hardware and recurring revenue as key drivers, which aligns with earnings growing faster than revenue on the trailing numbers, pointing to some operating leverage.
- At the same time, the reliance on AI and cloud orders in the bullish case sits next to a five year earnings trend that declined about 1.6% annually, so investors may watch how quickly the newer growth engines show up consistently in EPS.
38.2x P/E and Price Above DCF Check the Bears
- Cisco trades on a trailing P/E of 38.2x at a share price of US$115.53, compared with a DCF fair value of US$93.21 and an allowed analyst price target of US$116.64, while the P/E stands below the peer average of 71.9x but above the broader US Communications industry at 31.7x.
- Bears highlight valuation and execution risk, pointing to the stock price sitting above the DCF fair value and to challenges in newer software and security lines, yet current profitability and dividend income pull in the other direction.
- The share price of US$115.53 being above the US$93.21 DCF fair value and the 38.2x P/E exceeding the industry average give bears concrete points when they argue that investors are paying up relative to sector benchmarks.
- Against that, the 19.7% net margin on US$60.7b of trailing revenue and a 1.45% dividend yield provide income and earnings support that critics need to weigh against concerns about long term growth consistency and acquisition integration.
Next Steps
To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Cisco Systems on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
With sentiment split between Cisco's recent execution and its valuation, it makes sense to look at the numbers yourself and decide if the optimism holds up. To see what is driving that positive stance, review the 3 key rewards
See What Else Is Out There
While Cisco is posting higher margins and TTM EPS, the 38.2x P/E versus its DCF fair value and weaker five year earnings trend keep valuation risk in focus.
If you are uneasy about paying up for that kind of earnings history, it is worth shifting some research time toward stocks on the 47 high quality undervalued stocks.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
