Dollar Tree's Q1 adjusted EPS jumps 38%, beats estimates; FY outlook raised
Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR | 0.00 |
Overview
US value retailer's Q1 net sales rose 7.2%, slightly beating analyst expectations
Adjusted EPS for Q1 increased 38% to $1.74, beating analyst expectations
Company returned $595 mln to shareholders through Q1 share repurchases
Outlook
Dollar Tree raises fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $6.70-$7.10
Company expects Q2 net sales of $4.8 bln-$4.9 bln and adjusted EPS of $1.00-$1.15
Dollar Tree sees fiscal 2026 comparable store net sales growth of 3%-4%
Result Drivers
HIGHER AVERAGE TICKET - Comparable store net sales growth was driven by a 4.5% increase in average ticket, partially offset by a 1.0% decline in traffic
GROSS MARGIN IMPROVEMENT - Gross profit margin increased 120 basis points, primarily due to higher mark-on, lower freight costs, and lower shrink, partially offset by higher tariff costs and higher markdowns
STORE EXPANSION - Opened 113 new stores and converted or added about 630 stores to the multi-price format, ending the quarter with approximately 5,900 multi-price stores
Company press release: ID:nBwc8gG8ka
Key Details
Metric |
Beat/Miss |
Actual |
Consensus Estimate |
Q1 Sales |
Slight Beat* |
$4.97 bln |
$4.96 bln (21 Analysts) |
Q1 Adjusted EPS |
Beat |
$1.74 |
$1.54 (24 Analysts) |
Q1 Net Income |
|
$347.3 mln |
|
Q1 Same Store Sales Growth |
|
3.5% |
|
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 9 "strong buy" or "buy", 12 "hold" and 7 "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the discount stores peer group is "buy."
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Dollar Tree Inc is $115.00, about 20% above its May 27 closing price of $95.87
The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago
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