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Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Eli Lilly and Company LLY | 995.76 | -0.56% |
Investors in Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.0% to close at US$1,058 following the release of its annual results. It was a workmanlike result, with revenues of US$65b coming in 2.1% ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share of US$22.95, in line with analyst appraisals. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Eli Lilly's 25 analysts is for revenues of US$79.5b in 2026. This would reflect a major 22% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 45% to US$33.34. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$77.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$32.38 in 2026. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.
Althoughthe analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of US$1,186, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Eli Lilly, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$1,500 and the most bearish at US$830 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Eli Lilly'shistorical trends, as the 22% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 is roughly in line with the 19% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 8.2% annually. So it's pretty clear that Eli Lilly is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Eli Lilly following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$1,186, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Eli Lilly going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Eli Lilly , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


