Evaluating DT Midstream (DTM) After EBITDA Growth, Pipeline Expansion, Project Backlog Jump And Dividend Increase
DT Midstream, Inc. DTM | 134.06 | +0.14% |
DT Midstream (DTM) has drawn fresh attention after reporting 17% year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth for 2025, expanding its Pipeline segment to 70% of the business and raising its quarterly dividend by 7.3%.
The latest operational update seems to line up with recent market interest, with a 30 day share price return of 10.1% and a 90 day share price return of 17.5%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 65.6% and 3 year total shareholder return of roughly 3.2x both point to momentum that has been building over time.
If DT Midstream’s pipeline focus has caught your attention, this could be a good moment to look at 23 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks for more infrastructure linked ideas that might fit a similar theme.
With DT Midstream trading around $141.55, roughly 2.4% above the latest analyst price target yet still showing a 60.1% intrinsic discount estimate, the key question is whether there is still an entry point here or if the market is already factoring in future growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 2.5% Overvalued
At a last close of $141.55 versus a narrative fair value of $138.14, DT Midstream screens slightly rich, which puts more focus on the growth playbook behind that estimate.
Several firms lifting targets into the US$140s and US$150s frame DT Midstream as having meaningful exposure to natural gas pipelines and a demand backdrop tied to growing electricity needs, which they argue can support long term cash flow expansion if projects are delivered as planned.
Curious what earnings path and margin profile sit behind that fair value and those higher targets? The narrative leans on multi year revenue compounding, rising profitability per dollar of sales, and a richer future earnings multiple than the broader sector. Want to see exactly how those ingredients are combined to justify today’s pricing? The full story is in the detailed narrative.
Result: Fair Value of $138.14 (OVERVALUED)
However, these assumptions can be shaken if decarbonization efforts accelerate more quickly than expected or if aging infrastructure requires higher spending simply to keep earnings flat.
Another View: Cash Flows Tell a Different Story
If you only look at earnings multiples, DT Midstream can seem expensive, with a P/E of 32.7x versus the industry at 15.3x and a fair ratio of 22.5x. Yet our DCF model points to a very different picture, suggesting the shares trade at a 60.1% discount to future cash flows. Which signal do you trust more: the current earnings multiple or the cash flow math?
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out DT Midstream for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 49 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
With all these moving pieces, the real question is how you see the balance of strengths and weak spots, so move quickly, review the numbers for yourself, and weigh up the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign before deciding where you stand.
Ready for more investment ideas?
If DT Midstream has opened your eyes to what focused research can reveal, do not stop here, your next strong idea could be sitting in plain sight.
- Target clear value opportunities by scanning companies trading below their estimates of worth using our 49 high quality undervalued stocks built from fundamental data.
- Strengthen your income core by reviewing businesses with higher yields through the 16 dividend fortresses to see which payouts look more consistent with underlying cash flows.
- Reduce portfolio stress by focusing on companies with sturdier finances using the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (41 results) before excitement crowds out prudence.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
