Evergy’s growth plans meet surging data center demand

Evergy (EVRG) has been drawing attention after signing power agreements covering substantial electricity load with technology giants such as Google and Meta, while also outlining a larger multi year capital investment plan to support that demand.

Evergy’s recent customer agreements and higher capital plan have coincided with a 14.74% year to date share price return and a 63.50% five year total shareholder return, suggesting momentum has been building over both shorter and longer horizons.

If you like the theme of rising energy and infrastructure demand, it may be worth scanning other power grid related opportunities through the 34 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

After a strong multi year share price and total return run, along with mixed analyst views on fair value, the key question now is simple: is Evergy still trading at an attractive valuation or is future growth already fully reflected?

Most Popular Narrative: 7.3% Undervalued

Evergy’s most followed narrative puts fair value at $90.46 versus a last close of $83.85, which implies some upside still sits on the table.

Strong anticipated growth in electricity demand from large-scale data centers, advanced manufacturing (e.g., Panasonic's EV battery plant), and other commercial users is expected to drive substantial load increases in Evergy's service areas through 2029, supporting higher revenue and long-term earnings growth.

Curious what has to happen between now and 2029 for that fair value to hold up? Revenue growth, margin expansion and a future earnings multiple all need to line up precisely.

Result: Fair Value of $90.46 (UNDERVALUED)

However, that upside view still depends on smooth execution of Evergy’s large capital program and on big customers like Meta and Panasonic ramping load as expected.

Another view on Evergy’s valuation

While the narrative-based fair value of $90.46 suggests Evergy is 7.3% undervalued, the current P/E of 21.9x sits slightly above the US Electric Utilities industry at 21.8x and the fair ratio of 21.8x. That narrow premium points to limited margin for error if expectations soften.

Next Steps

Seeing both risks and rewards in Evergy’s story so far? You can take a closer look at the underlying data and decide where you stand by checking the 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.