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Flowserve (FLS) One Off Loss Of US$551.6m Tests Bullish Earnings Growth Narrative
Flowserve Corporation FLS | 74.29 | -1.84% |
Flowserve (FLS) has wrapped up FY 2025 with fourth quarter revenue of US$1.2 billion and a basic EPS loss of US$0.23, while trailing 12 month figures show revenue of US$4.7 billion and basic EPS of US$2.66. Over recent quarters the company has seen revenue move from US$1.14 billion in Q1 2025 to US$1.22 billion in Q4 2025, with basic EPS ranging from US$0.56 in Q1 to US$1.69 in Q3 before the latest quarterly loss. This sets up a mixed picture for profitability and margins.
See our full analysis for Flowserve.With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to see how these results line up against the widely held narratives about Flowserve, and where the data challenges what investors might have assumed about its growth and margin profile.
Trailing Net Margin Sits at 7.3%
- Across the last 12 months, Flowserve reported a net profit margin of 7.3%, compared with 6.2% in the prior year, on trailing revenue of US$4.7b and net income of US$346.2 million.
- What stands out for the bullish view is that this 7.3% margin and US$346.2 million of trailing net income sit alongside a reported 22.5% earnings growth rate, yet the most recent quarter showed a net income loss of US$29.0 million, which means:
- Bulls who focus on the 22.5% trailing earnings growth and a five year earnings compound rate of 23.5% per year have support from the full year margin figures, but they also need to factor in the basic EPS loss of US$0.23 in Q4 2025 after three profitable quarters.
- The tension for a bullish angle is that margins over the trailing period look healthier than the Q4 snapshot, as Q3 2025 alone delivered net income of US$219.6 million and basic EPS of US$1.69, so the year looks very different depending on whether the focus is on the full 12 months or the final quarter.
US$551.6m One Off Distorts Profit Picture
- A single one off loss of US$551.6 million materially affected the trailing 12 month results, even though the same period still produced US$346.2 million of net income and basic EPS of US$2.66.
- Skeptical investors often point to big exceptional charges as a warning sign, and here that bearish angle is tested by the fact that:
- The trailing period combines that US$551.6 million one off loss with four quarters that, excluding extra items, range from a loss of US$29.0 million in Q4 2025 to a profit of US$219.6 million in Q3 2025, so the headline charge sits on top of already varied quarterly profitability.
- Critics also highlight recent insider selling alongside this large charge, while rewards focused investors may instead focus on the trailing 22.5% earnings growth figure and the margin move from 6.2% to 7.3% when they weigh how much the one off should matter in their own assessment.
P/E of 31.4x vs DCF Fair Value
- Flowserve is referenced with a P/E of 31.4x, compared with a peer average of 37.3x and a US Machinery industry average of 27.9x, while a DCF fair value of US$77.33 sits below the current share price of US$85.46.
- What is interesting for a valuation focused, more cautious stance is how these numbers pull in different directions:
- On one hand, the P/E of 31.4x is lower than the 37.3x peer average, which value oriented investors might see as a relative discount, yet it is still above the 27.9x industry level, so it does not read as an outright low multiple for the sector.
- On the other hand, the share price of US$85.46 sits above both the DCF fair value of US$77.33 and the analyst price target figure of US$87.60, meaning anyone using those reference points would see limited headroom at current levels, even with the trailing 22.5% earnings growth in mind.
Want to see how this valuation picture fits with Flowserve’s full story, from earnings quality to long term risks and rewards? Stay updated on the most important news stories for Flowserve by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Flowserve.
Next Steps
Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on Flowserve's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.
See What Else Is Out There
The mix of a Q4 loss, a very large one off charge of US$551.6 million, and a P/E of 31.4x against a lower DCF fair value highlights valuation pressure and earnings volatility that some investors may find uncomfortable.
If that combination makes you cautious about paying up for uncertain earnings, consider shifting your research toward 53 high quality undervalued stocks, which focuses on companies where price and fundamentals line up more tightly right now.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


