GDS Holdings Limited's (NASDAQ:GDS) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
GDS Holdings Ltd. Sponsored ADR Class A GDS | 39.91 | -4.20% |
GDS Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GDS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 106% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking GDS Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.6x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' IT industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does GDS Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
GDS Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think GDS Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, GDS Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. Revenue has also lifted 23% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that GDS Holdings' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to GDS Holdings' P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It comes as a surprise to see GDS Holdings trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
You need to take note of risks, for example - GDS Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GDS Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
