Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Ashland's (NYSE:ASH) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Ashland Inc.

Ashland Inc.

ASH

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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Ashland Inc. (NYSE:ASH) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Therefore, if you purchase Ashland's shares on or after the 1st of September, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 15th of September.

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.42 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed US$1.68 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Ashland has a trailing yield of 2.3% on the current share price of US$73.94. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year, Ashland paid out 100% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 37% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

It's good to see that while Ashland's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
NYSE:ASH Historic Dividend August 28th 2026

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Ashland's earnings per share have plummeted approximately 58% a year over the previous five years.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Ashland has delivered 0.7% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years.

The Bottom Line

Is Ashland an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 100% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Ashland's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

With that being said, if you're still considering Ashland as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.