IBM Q2 EPS, revenue miss estimates on software weakness; stock tumbles

IBM Corp

IBM Corp

IBM

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Overview

  • US technology firm's preliminary Q2 revenue rose 1% but missed analyst expectations

  • Preliminary adjusted EPS for Q2 missed analyst expectations

  • IBM shares tumble 16% in pre-market trading

  • Company cites Z mainframe shortfall, capex shifts, and cybersecurity concerns for weak results


Outlook

  • IBM says it will provide full-year expectations during its July 22 earnings call


Result Drivers

  • MAINFRAME SHORTFALL - Co said weaker-than-expected Z mainframe and associated software sales, especially in Transaction Processing, drove revenue and profit shortfall

  • CAPEX SHIFT - Clients shifted capex toward servers, storage, and memory ahead of expected price increases, disrupting typical buying patterns and impacting results

  • CYBERSECURITY DISTRACTIONS - Rapidly evolving cybersecurity concerns distracted clients and contributed to delays in closing large deals


Company press release: ID:nPn91qqkCa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Miss

$17.20 bln

$17.86 bln (16 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$2.93

$3.02 (17 Analysts)

Q2 Gross Margin

57.70%


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 16 "strong buy" or "buy", 8 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the it services & consulting peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for International Business Machines Corp is $293.00, about 1% above its July 13 closing price of $290.23

  • The stock recently traded at 22 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 19 three months ago


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