NEW YORK, June 10 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer inflation increased at its fastest pace in three years in May as the Middle East conflict raised the price of gasoline and other energy products, giving more ammunition for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged into 2027.

The Consumer Price Index increased 4.2% in the 12 months through May, the largest gain since April 2023, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Wednesday. The CPI advanced 3.8% year-on-year in April. Prices increased 0.5% on a monthly basis after climbing 0.6% in April.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI increasing 4.2% year-on-year and gaining 0.5% on a monthly basis.

The third straight month of strong increases in the CPI highlighted mounting pressure on households as evidence suggests more consumers are dipping into savings to finance their spending. Inflation outpaced wage growth for a second consecutive month, which could weigh on overall economic growth.

MARKET REACTION:

STOCKS: U.S. stock indexes slipped, with futures tracking the Nasdaq composite .IXIC declining 0.9% and those on the S&P 500 .SPX down 0.6%.

BONDS: Treasury prices rose modestly, sending yields lower by 1 basis point. The 2-year Treasury yield US2YT=RR fell to 4.11% and the 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR fell to 4.52%.

FOREX: The dollar index =USD fell 0.1% to 99.91.

COMMENTS:

ALEXANDER LIS, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, SD VENTURES, LIMASSOL, CYPRUS:

"CPI numbers were largely in line with consensus expectations. Both the headline and core. Not a hot print. But it wasn't enough to reassure the markets.

"It was the last inflation print before the next FOMC meeting. So, the most important thing right now is the Fed reaction.

"Next week, we will know whether inflation is high enough to prompt the Fed to signal a possible rate hike. It could determine the market movement for months ahead."

PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK:

“These numbers are right in line with what I was looking for, except for the year on year for top line inflation. They are not that bad. They indicate that there has been no acceleration in inflation from the previous month. Of course, a lot depends on energy prices. And I suspect that if oil prices don't move much beyond $100 a barrel, that it's safe to say that maybe inflation has peaked. Of course, the wild card remains the war factor.

“On a year-to-year basis, the numbers suggest that inflation is still a problem. But the fact that the core is below 3%, I think is a good sign that maybe - and it, of course, all depends on the war - that energy inflation may have peaked.”

ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST AT B RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK:

"The CPI report is a tale of two cities. While it is very much in line with expectations, it's still moving in the wrong direction. That hasn't changed the narrative around what the Fed will do at their next meeting. But the overarching consensus is that the Fed will hold steady and there's only one rate hike priced into the fed funds futures.

"So all of that in total is likely what's helping pare some of the losses coming into the day after some significant settling pressure in the chip stocks and technology in general."

TIM URBANOWICZ, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, INNOVATOR ETFS, GOLDMAN SACHS ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHICAGO:

“While the recent spike in both headline and core inflation is meaningful and a headwind for the economy and more cyclical sectors, tailwinds from the AI investment cycle, potential benefits from the Big Beautiful Bill, and the lagged impact of Fed rate cuts are all still providing meaningful support. If the Iran conflict drags on and inflationary pressures continue to build, there could come a point where that balance shifts, but we don’t see that today.”

BRENT SCHUTTE, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT, MILWAUKEE: “Today’s inflation information does little to resolve the reality that the last mile of inflation has been difficult for the Fed to defeat. The reality is that inflation has been persistently stuck above their 2 percent target for the past few years with little to no progress. The weak labor market has provided the Fed the cover to cut rates despite this reality. With the labor market healing investors are rightfully pondering if the Fed will have to refocus on actually meeting their inflation mandate.”