IonQ Posts Strong Q4, Guides To 81% Revenue Growth In 2026

IonQ, Inc. -1.63%

IonQ, Inc.

IONQ

33.71

-1.63%

Shares of IonQ Inc (NYSE:IONQ) rose in early trading on Thursday after the company reported upbeat fourth-quarter results.

Here are the key analyst insights:

  • DA Davidson analyst Alexander Platt maintained a Neutral rating, while reducing the price target from $55 to $35.
  • Benchmark analyst David Williams reiterated a Buy rating, while cutting the price target from $75 to $65.
  • Needham analyst Quinn Bolton reaffirmed a Buy rating, while trimming the price target from $80 to $65.
  • Rosenblatt Securities analyst John McPeake maintained a Buy rating and price target of $100.

Check out other analyst stock ratings.

DA Davidson: IonQ reported solid fourth quarter earnings, with total revenue growing 429% year-on-year to $61.9 million, Platt said in a note. The company guided to full-year total revenue of $225-$245 million, implying around 81% growth at the midpoint, he added.

IonQ guided to first-quarter revenue of $48-$51 million, reflecting around 554% year-on-year growth at the midpoint, the analyst stated. A "Management noted that they’re continuing to see growing momentum for quantum within the commercial sector, while also expanding the quantum platform into networking, sensing, and security throughout this past fiscal year," he further wrote.

Benchmark: Investors have concerns about the quality of IonQ's earnings, with the recent acquisitions affecting transparency. Williams estimates the organic core computing business to have contributed only around 62% of total revenue.

"The company also pointed to its $370M of remaining performance obligations as evidence of momentum, which was up from $77M last year, with roughly $150M expected to be recognized over the next 12 months," the analyst wrote. This implies that IonQ requires an additional revenue of around $85 million beyond existing committed contracts to reach the midpoint of the full-year guidance.

Needham: IonQ reported revenues of $61.9 million, topping consensus of $40.4 million, Bolton said. "Management attributed the upside in the quarter to diversification of product offerings (atomic clocks, systems, sensors, networking, etc.) and revenue streams (recurring, percentage-of-completion, shipments, etc.)," he wrote.

IonQ guided to full-year revenue of $225-$245 million, which came significantly higher than Street expectation of $195.8 million, the analyst stated. The strong outlook reflects continued momentum for the company’s quantum solutions and an acceleration in organic growth, he added.

Rosenblatt Securities: IonQ generated stronger-than-expected growth, even after excluding acquisitions, McPeake said. He estimates organic growth of a strong 158%, "over 2x our estimate of 70% Y/Y."

The company guided to 2026 revenues of $225-$245 million, reflecting 81% growth at the midpoint, the analyst stated. The guidance for the first quarter seems to represents over 100% organic revenue growth, he added.

IONQ Price Action: Shares of IonQ had risen by 19.56% to $40.16 at the time of publication on Thursday.

Image: Shutterstock

Every question you ask will be answered
Scan the QR code to contact us
whatsapp
Also you can contact us via