• D-Wave Quantum recently announced it will host Qubits Europe 2026 in London on June 18, 2026, showcasing real-world applications of its annealing and gate-model quantum systems, hybrid-quantum software, blockchain work, and quantum AI across business, science, and government.
• At the same time, the company is drawing attention for large recent bookings, expanding deployments in areas such as defense and cybersecurity, and Nvidia’s AI-based Ising models that could enhance the practicality of D-Wave’s quantum hardware and cloud services.
• Against this backdrop of rising bookings and the upcoming Qubits Europe 2026 conference, we’ll examine how these developments reshape D-Wave’s investment narrative.

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D-Wave Quantum Investment Narrative Recap

To own D-Wave Quantum today, you need to believe quantum optimization can become a meaningful commercial market and that D-Wave’s annealing plus gate-model roadmap will matter in it. The clearest short term catalyst is turning strong bookings into steadier, less “lumpy” revenue, while the biggest risk is that high operating costs and dependence on a few large deals persist. The Qubits Europe 2026 news reinforces customer engagement but does not fundamentally change those near term stakes.

Among recent developments, D-Wave’s report that January bookings topped US$30.0 million and that Q1 2026 bookings passed US$32.8 million stands out. For a company whose revenue can swing sharply when a single system sale lands, these figures matter more to the investment case than any single conference, because they speak directly to whether enterprise and government demand is broadening enough to support recurring QCaaS growth and, over time, narrow ongoing losses.

Yet investors should also be aware that the same concentration in large, high value contracts that can turbocharge bookings in a good quarter can just as easily turn into a source of volatility and disappointment if those deals begin to...

D-Wave Quantum's narrative projects $122.5 million revenue and $15.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 71.8% yearly revenue growth and about a $414 million earnings increase from $-398.8 million today.

Uncover how D-Wave Quantum's forecasts yield a $38.54 fair value, a 75% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Some analysts paint a far more optimistic picture than consensus, assuming revenue could reach about US$180.2 million by 2029, even as the earlier narrative worries about lumpy bookings and unused QCaaS capacity; taken together with the latest bookings surge and Qubits Europe 2026, this gap in expectations shows just how differently you might weigh the upside and the risks before deciding what D-Wave’s story really looks like.

Explore 67 other fair value estimates on D-Wave Quantum - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

Form Your Own Verdict

Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.

• A great starting point for your D-Wave Quantum research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free D-Wave Quantum research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate D-Wave Quantum's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.