Is Franklin Electric (FELE) Offering Fair Value After Recent Share Price Strength?
Franklin Electric Co., Inc. FELE | 0.00 |
- Wondering whether Franklin Electric at US$102.17 is offering real value or just a full price for quality? This article walks through the numbers so you can judge for yourself.
- The stock has returned 4.2% over the past week, 4.4% over the past month, 5.3% year to date, 19.7% over the past year, 4.4% over three years and 36.0% over five years, which gives useful context for thinking about what you are paying today.
- Recent coverage of the company has focused on its role in the capital goods space and investor interest in how it is positioned within that sector. That attention helps frame current expectations around Franklin Electric and sets the backdrop for assessing whether the price lines up with the fundamentals.
- Right now, Franklin Electric scores just 1 out of 6 on Simply Wall St's valuation checks. The next sections will walk through different valuation approaches and then finish with a broader way to think about what the stock might be worth.
Franklin Electric scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
Approach 1: Franklin Electric Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting the cash the company might generate in the future and then discounting those cash flows back to today in $ terms.
For Franklin Electric, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow stands at about $172.7 million. Simply Wall St then uses analyst estimates through 2027 and extends them further, with projected free cash flow of about $356.0 million in 2035, all expressed in $ and discounted back to today.
Adding up those discounted cash flows gives an estimated intrinsic value of about $117.54 per share. Against a current share price of $102.17, the DCF output suggests the stock trades at roughly a 13.1% discount. This indicates that Franklin Electric may currently be offering more value than the share price implies.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Franklin Electric is undervalued by 13.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 46 more high quality undervalued stocks.
Approach 2: Franklin Electric Price vs Earnings
For a profitable company like Franklin Electric, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand for how much you are paying today for each dollar of earnings. Higher growth potential and lower perceived risk usually support a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk tend to justify a lower, more conservative multiple.
Franklin Electric currently trades on a P/E of about 30.1x. That sits above the Machinery industry average of roughly 26.2x and also above the peer group average of about 28.0x, which suggests the stock is priced at a premium to many comparable companies on this simple measure.
Simply Wall St's Fair Ratio for Franklin Electric is 26.9x. This is a proprietary P/E estimate that factors in the company’s earnings growth profile, profit margins, risk characteristics, industry, and market cap, rather than just lining it up against broad industry or peer averages. Because it adjusts for these company specific features, the Fair Ratio can give a more tailored reference point than a straight comparison with the sector.
Comparing the Fair Ratio of 26.9x with the actual P/E of 30.1x suggests the stock is trading above what this framework would flag as a fair level.
Result: OVERVALUED
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Franklin Electric Narrative
Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives on Simply Wall St's Community page let you connect your view of Franklin Electric's story to specific forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins. These then flow through to a fair value that you can compare with the current price, update automatically as new news or earnings arrive, and line up against other investors' views, such as someone who sees the stock as worth US$120.00 because they put more weight on sustainable water technologies and acquisitions, versus someone closer to US$100.00 who focuses on exposure to cyclical markets, margin pressures and cost risks.
Do you think there's more to the story for Franklin Electric? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
