Is It Time To Reassess Ingram Micro Holding (INGM) After Its 67.7% One Year Surge

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation

INGM

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  • If you are wondering whether Ingram Micro Holding is attractively priced at its current level, the recent share performance provides some useful context before looking at the valuation details.
  • The stock last closed at US$29.71, with a 3.7% decline over the past week, a 33.2% gain over the last 30 days and a 67.7% return over the past year. This pattern suggests that sentiment around the shares has shifted meaningfully over different time frames.
  • These moves have come as investors look more closely at Ingram Micro Holding following its listing structure and broader sector attention. The stock has been drawing more interest from those comparing it with other technology distribution peers. That context helps explain why price action has been active recently, even without a specific single headline driving the story.
  • On Simply Wall St's 6 point valuation framework, Ingram Micro Holding scores a 4 out of 6. The next step is to unpack how different valuation approaches line up, and then look at an even deeper way to think about value later in the article.

Approach 1: Ingram Micro Holding Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a business might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s value using a required return.

For Ingram Micro Holding, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $748.1 million, and analyst inputs plus extrapolations feed into a path that includes a projected Free Cash Flow of $938.4 million in 2035, according to Simply Wall St’s data. The earlier years are informed by analyst estimates, while the later years are extrapolated.

Pulling those cash flows back to today in the DCF framework gives an estimated intrinsic value of US$44.43 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$29.71, this implies the stock is about 33.1% below that intrinsic estimate, which indicates Ingram Micro Holding is trading at a meaningful discount on this model.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Ingram Micro Holding is undervalued by 33.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 53 more high quality undervalued stocks.

INGM Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026
INGM Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026

Approach 2: Ingram Micro Holding Price vs Earnings

For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful yardstick because it links what you pay for each share to the earnings that business is currently generating. The higher the expected growth and the lower the perceived risk, the higher the P/E ratio investors are usually willing to accept as "normal" for a stock.

Ingram Micro Holding currently trades on a P/E of 20.99x. That sits close to the peer average of 20.41x and below the Electronic industry average of 26.94x, so on simple comparisons the shares are not aggressively priced relative to sector references.

Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” of 31.73x for Ingram Micro Holding. This metric aims to capture the P/E the company might justify given its earnings growth profile, profit margins, industry, market cap and key risks. Because it looks at these fundamentals directly, the Fair Ratio can often be more tailored than a straight comparison with peers or broad industry averages, which may have very different growth or risk characteristics.

Comparing the current P/E of 20.99x with the Fair Ratio of 31.73x suggests the shares are trading below that implied level.

Result: UNDERVALUED

NYSE:INGM P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026
NYSE:INGM P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026

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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Ingram Micro Holding Narrative

Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced as a simple way for you to connect your view of Ingram Micro Holding’s business to specific forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins, and then to a Fair Value that you can compare with the current share price.

A Narrative on Simply Wall St’s Community page is essentially your story about the company, expressed through numbers. Instead of only looking at a P/E of 20.99x or analyst targets in isolation, you set assumptions and see what Fair Value those imply.

Because Narratives link story, forecast and valuation in one place, they help you judge whether the current price around US$29.71 lines up with your expectations or with existing community Narratives. They also refresh automatically when new results or news are added to the platform.

For example, one Ingram Micro Holding Narrative applies a Fair Value of about US$31.31, close to the higher analyst targets around US$32.0, while another sits nearer US$21.0. Comparing those side by side shows how different views on future earnings and margins translate into very different ideas of what the shares may be worth today.

For Ingram Micro Holding however we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Ingram Micro Holding Narratives:

Fair Value: US$31.31

Implied discount to this Fair Value: ((31.31 - 29.71) / 31.31), which is about 5.1%.

Revenue growth assumption: 3.59% a year.

  • Focuses on Ingram Micro Holding scaling its AI ecosystem through Xvantage, AI Factory and Enable AI, along with tools like the IDA assistant and Sales Briefing Assistant, which are already linked to hundreds of millions of US dollars in revenue and higher quote to order conversion.
  • Builds in analyst assumptions that revenue grows to US$56.7b, profit margins reach about 1.3% and earnings come to US$709.0m by 2029, with the shares trading on a P/E of 14.2x on those earnings, discounted at 10.83%.
  • Highlights risks such as pressure on gross margins from low margin AI hardware projects, reliance on large advanced solutions deals, higher working capital and leverage, and encourages readers to test whether those trade offs still justify a Fair Value around US$31.31.

Fair Value: US$21.00

Implied premium to this Fair Value: ((29.71 - 21.00) / 21.00), which is about 41.5%.

Revenue growth assumption: 0.14% a year.

  • Frames Ingram Micro Holding as more exposed to lower margin hardware heavy client and endpoint sales, large low margin GPU and AI infrastructure deals and working capital intensive bundles, which can hold back margin expansion and free cash flow even when sales are solid.
  • Uses analyst assumptions that revenue is around US$50.8b by 2028, earnings are US$749.1m and the shares trade on a 9.0x P/E, discounted at 10.74%, to arrive at a Fair Value of US$21.00 that sits at the lower end of the current analyst target range.
  • Flags that upside to this view could come from stronger AI adoption, more efficient platforms like Xvantage and IDA, and better working capital and cash flow, and asks readers to weigh whether the market should lean closer to this cautious Fair Value or the more optimistic bull case.

If you want to go beyond the previews and see how the community connects these numbers to long term outcomes, you can review the full range of Ingram Micro Holding Narratives side by side to decide which set of assumptions lines up best with your own view of the stock.

To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Ingram Micro Holding on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

Do you think there's more to the story for Ingram Micro Holding? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NYSE:INGM 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NYSE:INGM 1-Year Stock Price Chart

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.