Is It Time To Reassess Tidewater (TDW) After A 128% One Year Rally

Tidewater Inc

Tidewater Inc

TDW

0.00

  • If you are wondering whether Tidewater's current share price reflects its true worth, a good starting point is understanding how its market value compares with a few simple valuation checks.
  • Tidewater recently closed at US$87.85, with returns of 4.1% over the last 30 days, 68.2% year to date, and 128.2% over the past year. These figures can influence how much risk or opportunity investors perceive in the stock.
  • Recent coverage of Tidewater has focused on its role within the energy services space and the attention investors have given to companies supporting offshore and marine activity. This context has framed the stock as one that many investors are watching closely when reassessing portfolios.
  • Tidewater currently has a valuation score of 5/6. This invites a closer look at approaches such as discounted cash flow and valuation multiples, with a broader way to think about valuation discussed at the end of this article.

Approach 1: Tidewater Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them back to a single value in today's dollars.

For Tidewater, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on cash flow projections. The company reported last twelve months free cash flow of about $348.1 million. Analyst inputs cover the next few years, with Simply Wall St extending those forecasts further out. Within the 10 year projection window, forecast free cash flow reaches $404.0 million in 2035, all expressed in US$.

Adding up those discounted cash flows and a terminal value produces an estimated intrinsic value of about $157.51 per share. When this is set against the recent share price of $87.85, the DCF implies an intrinsic discount of 44.2%, which indicates that Tidewater is trading at a marked discount to this cash flow based estimate.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Tidewater is undervalued by 44.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 50 more high quality undervalued stocks.

TDW Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
TDW Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026

Approach 2: Tidewater Price vs Earnings

For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to see how much you are paying for each dollar of earnings, which makes it a useful cross check against the DCF result.

What counts as a “normal” P/E depends on how investors view a company’s growth prospects and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can support a higher P/E, while more uncertainty usually lines up with a lower one.

Tidewater currently trades on a P/E of 13.01x. That sits below the Energy Services industry average of 26.91x and also well below the peer group average of 57.70x, suggesting the market is assigning a lower earnings multiple to Tidewater than to many comparable names.

Simply Wall St’s “Fair Ratio” is a proprietary estimate of what the P/E should be, given factors such as Tidewater’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. Because it blends these company specific inputs instead of relying only on simple peer or industry comparisons, it can offer a more tailored view of what an appropriate earnings multiple might look like.

For Tidewater, the Fair Ratio is 14.46x versus the current 13.01x P/E, which points to the shares trading below this model based reference point.

Result: UNDERVALUED

NYSE:TDW P/E Ratio as at May 2026
NYSE:TDW P/E Ratio as at May 2026

P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 17 top founder-led companies.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Tidewater Narrative

Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives on Simply Wall St let you attach your story about Tidewater to the numbers by tying your assumptions for revenue, earnings and margins into a forecast, turning that into a Fair Value, then comparing it with the current price to help you judge whether it looks attractive or expensive. Because Narratives on the Community page are refreshed when new information such as earnings or news arrives, you can see how different viewpoints play out in real time. For example, one Tidewater Narrative might line up with a more optimistic Fair Value closer to US$117, while another reflects a more cautious stance nearer to US$52. This gives you a clear sense of the range of opinions and a simple framework to decide where your own view sits.

For Tidewater however we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Tidewater Narratives:

Fair value used in this bullish narrative: US$117.00

Implied discount to that fair value vs the recent US$87.85 share price: about 25.0%.

Revenue growth assumption used: 9.17%.

  • Analysts using this view tie a higher fair value to updated price targets and commentary that Tidewater's position at the end of 2025 supports stronger expectations into 2026.
  • The narrative leans on higher assumed revenue growth, solid margins and a higher future P/E multiple to justify the US$117.00 fair value.
  • It highlights that the uplift in fair value from US$75.00 to US$117.00 is based on changes to revenue growth, margin and multiple assumptions rather than broad sector calls.

Fair value used in this more cautious narrative: US$82.29

Implied premium to that fair value vs the recent US$87.85 share price: about 6.8%.

Revenue growth assumption used: 7.07%.

  • Analysts here anchor on a consensus fair value around US$82.29, with a view that the current share price already sits close to their central case.
  • This stance reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E, but pairs them with ratings that suggest the shares look roughly in line with expectations.
  • Cautious commentary points to execution risk, offshore cyclicality and reliance on fossil fuel markets as key reasons to treat current pricing as fair rather than cheap.

Putting both together gives you a clear range, from a bullish US$117.00 narrative through to a more neutral US$82.29 view, so you can decide which assumptions feel closer to your own, then stress test them against Tidewater's actual results over time.To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Tidewater on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

Do you think there's more to the story for Tidewater? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NYSE:TDW 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NYSE:TDW 1-Year Stock Price Chart

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.