Is It Too Late To Consider Schlumberger (SLB) After Its Strong Year-To-Date Rally?
SLB Limited SLB | 49.44 | -1.18% |
- If you are wondering whether SLB is still attractively priced after its recent run, this article will walk you through what the current share price might be implying about its value.
- With the stock at US$51.49, SLB has seen a 28.1% return year to date and a 29.7% return over the last year, while the 7 day return of 0.1% and 30 day return of 1.6% suggest the pace of recent moves has been more measured.
- Recent SLB headlines have focused on the company’s position in energy services and wider industry sentiment, which can influence how investors think about future contracts, spending, and overall sector exposure. This context helps frame whether the current price action reflects changing expectations around growth potential or shifts in perceived risk.
- SLB currently holds a valuation score of 5/6. This sets up a closer look at how different methods such as discounted cash flow, multiples, and other checks line up, before turning to a more complete way of thinking about value at the end of this article.
Approach 1: SLB Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of the cash SLB is expected to generate in the future and discounts those back into today’s dollars to arrive at an estimate of what the business might be worth now.
For SLB, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $3.9b. Analyst inputs and extrapolations point to projected free cash flow of $5.9b in 2030, with a path of annual figures between now and ten years out that Simply Wall St has partly sourced from analysts and partly extended using its own assumptions.
Adding up those discounted cash flows produces an estimated intrinsic value of about $81.65 per share. Compared with the current share price of $51.49, the DCF output suggests SLB trades at roughly a 36.9% discount, which the model interprets as undervalued on this cash flow view.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests SLB is undervalued by 36.9%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 54 more high quality undervalued stocks.
Approach 2: SLB Price vs Earnings
For a profitable company like SLB, the P/E ratio is a useful yardstick because it links what you pay per share to the earnings that each share is generating. It gives a quick sense of how much investors are currently willing to pay for those earnings.
What counts as a “normal” or “fair” P/E usually reflects a mix of growth expectations and risk. Higher expected earnings growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk often lines up with a lower multiple.
SLB currently trades on a P/E of 22.82x. That sits below the Energy Services industry average of 26.63x and slightly below the peer group average of 23.37x. Simply Wall St’s proprietary Fair Ratio for SLB is 23.61x, which represents the P/E that might be expected after accounting for factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and company specific risks.
The Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple industry or peer comparison, because it adjusts for those characteristics instead of assuming all companies deserve similar multiples. Since SLB’s actual P/E of 22.82x is below the Fair Ratio of 23.61x, the shares screen as undervalued on this metric.
Result: UNDERVALUED
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your SLB Narrative
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which let you connect your view of SLB’s story to a simple forecast and a Fair Value number, all inside the Simply Wall St Community page.
A Narrative is your own story for a company, where you spell out what you think could happen to its revenue, earnings and margins, then see what Fair Value those assumptions imply rather than only relying on standard models or headline P/E ratios.
Because Narratives link the story to the numbers, you can quickly compare your Fair Value with the current price and decide whether SLB looks appealing, fully priced, or closer to your sell zone based on your expectations.
The tool is designed to be straightforward, and it updates as new information comes in. When SLB posts earnings or features in news about items like Venezuela exposure, ChampionX integration or new digital contracts, the forecasts and Fair Value you see can be refreshed without you rebuilding everything from scratch.
For example, one SLB Narrative on Simply Wall St currently assumes a Fair Value of about US$40.07 per share, another assumes around US$56.41, and both are built from different views on future growth, profit margins and the P/E multiple investors might pay. This shows how the same stock can look very different depending on the story you believe.
For SLB however we'll make it really easy for you with previews of two leading SLB Narratives:
Fair value in this narrative: about US$55.05 per share
Gap to this fair value: roughly 6.5% below that figure at the recent price of US$51.49
Revenue growth assumption: about 4.53% a year
- Analysts in this narrative see steady revenue growth, firmer profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple feeding into a fair value in the mid US$50s.
- The storyline leans on production focused work, digital offerings and low carbon projects to support earnings, with Venezuela exposure and sector swings treated as manageable risks.
- Overall it frames SLB as reasonably priced with some upside if execution around ChampionX integration, digital adoption and energy transition projects goes to plan.
Fair value in this narrative: about US$40.07 per share
Gap to this fair value: roughly 28.5% above that figure at the recent price of US$51.49
Revenue growth assumption: about 3.61% a year
- This narrative starts from a lower analyst fair value, closer to the more cautious targets, and assumes modest revenue growth with tighter valuation multiples.
- It highlights energy transition policies, potential pressure on oilfield demand and capital costs as factors that could cap returns even with ChampionX, digital and new energy efforts.
- On this view, SLB screens as priced ahead of what the bearish earnings, margin and P/E path might support, so the focus is on downside risk if sentiment or activity cools.
If you want to see how these two viewpoints are built line by line, you can read the full bullish and bearish Narratives inside the Simply Wall St Community and then decide which assumptions feel closer to your own view of SLB.
Do you think there's more to the story for SLB? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
