Is Lyft (LYFT) Cheap As Redburn Turns Bullish On International Expansion?
Lyft LYFT | 0.00 |
Lyft (LYFT) is back in focus after Rothschild & Co Redburn shifted its view on the stock, pointing to ride growth pressures as temporary and highlighting expectations around the company’s international expansion plans.
At a share price of $13.82, Lyft has seen its 1 day share price return slip 2.81% and its 7 day share price return ease 3.22%. A 90 day share price return of 4.22% contrasts with a weaker year to date share price return, and the 3 year total shareholder return of 40.30% sits against a 5 year total shareholder return that has declined 76.96%.
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With Lyft trading at $13.82, a reported P/E of 2.08 and a sizeable discount to one analyst price target, the key question for you is simple: is there real upside left here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 25.9% Undervalued
Against Lyft’s last close of $13.82, the most followed narrative anchors fair value closer to $18.64, framing a sizeable gap that analysts try to explain through long term growth drivers and margin assumptions.
The ongoing rollout and consumer adoption of autonomous vehicles backed by new partnerships with tech leaders like Baidu and operational capabilities in both the U.S. and Europe are expected to significantly expand Lyft's total addressable market (TAM), lower labor costs, and increase long term gross margins and earnings.
Want to see what underpins that valuation gap? The core of this narrative is a revenue path, shrinking margins and a future earnings multiple that has to carry the load.
Result: Fair Value of $18.64 (UNDERVALUED)
However, the Lyft narrative also leans on assumptions that could be challenged if competitive pressure from Uber or stricter regulations push costs higher and margins lower.
Next Steps
If the mixed sentiment around Lyft has you weighing both sides, use this momentum to review the data and stress test the bullish and bearish angles for yourself, then round out your view by checking the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
