Is Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) Still Attractive After A 41.7% One Year Rally?

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.

PAA

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  • Wondering if Plains All American Pipeline at around US$22 is still offering value, or if most of the opportunity is already priced in.
  • The stock last closed at US$22.09, with a 4% decline over the past week, a 0.7% decline over the past month, a 21.3% gain year to date and a 41.7% return over the past year.
  • Recent coverage around Plains All American Pipeline has focused on its position within the energy infrastructure space and how investors are weighing income potential against exposure to energy market swings. This backdrop helps explain why the stock has had periods of strong multi year returns alongside short term pullbacks.
  • Plains All American Pipeline currently scores a 4/6 valuation check. Next, you will see how different methods such as DCF, earnings multiples, and asset based measures line up. At the end, you will also see a more complete way to think about value that goes beyond any single model.

Approach 1: Plains All American Pipeline Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting the cash the company is expected to generate in the future and discounting those amounts back to today.

For Plains All American Pipeline, the model uses a 2 stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, starting from last twelve months free cash flow of about $2.46b. Analyst estimates and subsequent extrapolations point to projected free cash flow of about $1.72b in 2030. This is based on a detailed path of forecasts from 2026 through 2035 that are gradually discounted to reflect risk and the time value of money.

When all those discounted cash flows are added together, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $53.48 per share. Compared with a recent share price around $22.09, this model output suggests the stock is 58.7% undervalued under this DCF framework.

Result: UNDERVALUED

Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Plains All American Pipeline is undervalued by 58.7%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 51 more high quality undervalued stocks.

PAA Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
PAA Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026

Approach 2: Plains All American Pipeline Price vs Earnings

P/E is a useful yardstick for profitable companies because it ties what you pay directly to the earnings the business is generating today. In general, higher growth expectations and lower perceived risk can support a higher “normal” P/E ratio, while slower growth or higher risk usually align with a lower one.

Plains All American Pipeline currently trades on a P/E of about 19.83x. That sits above the Oil and Gas industry average of roughly 14.20x, but below the peer average of around 23.25x. To go a step further, Simply Wall St calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” of 26.70x for Plains All American Pipeline. This figure reflects factors such as earnings growth characteristics, profit margins, the company’s size, its industry and risk profile.

Because the Fair Ratio is tailored to the company’s own fundamentals rather than just broad peer groups, it can give a more specific reference point than simple industry or peer comparisons. With the current P/E of 19.83x sitting below the Fair Ratio of 26.70x, the multiple based assessment points to the stock being undervalued on this measure.

Result: UNDERVALUED

NasdaqGS:PAA P/E Ratio as at May 2026
NasdaqGS:PAA P/E Ratio as at May 2026

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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Plains All American Pipeline Narrative

Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced as a simple way for you to attach a clear story about Plains All American Pipeline to the numbers you care about, by linking your view on its future revenue, earnings and margins to a financial forecast and then to a fair value that you can compare with the current price.

On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are available as an easy tool used by millions of investors. They let you see how different assumptions translate into a Fair Value that can help you decide whether the stock looks expensive or cheap relative to where it trades today. These Narratives update automatically when new information such as news or earnings is added to the platform.

For example, one Plains All American Pipeline Narrative might lean toward the higher analyst fair value around US$26, assuming stronger revenue growth and margin improvement. Another might sit closer to US$18, focusing on risks like energy transition, capital needs and basin level exposure. Seeing these side by side helps you quickly understand which story you find more reasonable and how that lines up with the current price.

Do you think there's more to the story for Plains All American Pipeline? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!

NasdaqGS:PAA 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NasdaqGS:PAA 1-Year Stock Price Chart

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.