• In April 2026, the U.S. Department of Agriculture and Palantir Technologies signed a US$300 million Blanket Purchase Agreement to support the National Farm Security Action Plan and modernize how USDA delivers digital services to farmers through the Landmark platform.
• This agreement extends Palantir’s role beyond defense and intelligence into safeguarding U.S. food supply chains, consolidating legacy farm program systems, and combating fraud, abuse, and foreign adversary influence in agricultural programs.
• Next, we’ll examine how this long-term USDA software deal, built around the Landmark platform, affects Palantir’s existing investment narrative.

Find 56 companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

Palantir Technologies Investment Narrative Recap

To own Palantir today, you have to believe it can turn its data and AI platforms into a long‑lasting “operating system” for governments and large enterprises, with contracts that support strong margins and cash generation. The US$300 million USDA Landmark agreement reinforces that thesis in U.S. government, and in the near term it may strengthen the key catalyst of growing federal software adoption, while also highlighting the core risk that Palantir’s fortunes remain tightly tied to big, politically sensitive public‑sector deals.

Among recent news, DZ Bank’s initiation on Palantir with a Buy rating and a US$175 price target stands out alongside the USDA deal. Before this announcement, bullish analysts were already modeling very strong revenue and earnings growth; the new USDA agreement could influence how sustainably they view that trajectory, but it also sits against persistent worries about valuation and concentration in U.S. government work.

Yet beneath the optimism around AI and new contracts, there is a quieter risk that Palantir’s dependence on large, controversial U.S. government agencies could...

Palantir Technologies' narrative projects $10.8 billion revenue and $3.6 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 40.7% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $2.5 billion from $1.1 billion today.

Uncover how Palantir Technologies' forecasts yield a $185.70 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Some of the most optimistic analysts were expecting Palantir’s revenue to reach about US$11.9 billion and earnings near US$4.9 billion by 2028, which is far more upbeat than consensus and assumes today’s rapid growth and margins continue. The USDA deal might strengthen that bullish view, or it could highlight how quickly expectations can shift if government demand or political sentiment changes, so it is worth comparing these competing storylines before deciding which you find more convincing.

Explore 125 other fair value estimates on Palantir Technologies - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!

Reach Your Own Conclusion

Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.

• A great starting point for your Palantir Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Palantir Technologies research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Palantir Technologies' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.