Kalshi debuts US midterms hub for election forecasts and polling data

- Prediction market operator Kalshi said it had launched a new hub for tracking the U.S. midterm elections, offering users real-time election forecasts alongside polling, fundraising and historical election data.

The New York-based company said the hub will provide a market-based view of election races using prices from prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts tied to political outcomes.


Here are some details:

  • Kalshi said its prices reflect the views of traders willing to risk money on an outcome rather than voters' stated preferences.

  • Hub is intended to serve as a one-stop resource for voters, journalists, campaigns, policymakers and researchers seeking election forecasts.

  • The launch comes as prediction markets have grown rapidly since the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

  • Prediction markets provide a real-time view of traders' expectations, though critics say prices could be influenced by speculative trading and potential insider information.

  • The hub includes live prediction markets for Senate, House and Governor races, polling averages from VoteHub, Federal Election Commission fundraising data, historical election results and campaign news and analysis.

  • The company is marking the launch with an event in Washington, D.C., featuring political strategists and a live demonstration of the platform.