LexinFintech Holdings (NasdaqGS:LX) EPS Slide To C¥1.21 Reinforces Bearish Profitability Narratives
Lexinfintech LX | 0.00 |
LexinFintech Holdings (NasdaqGS:LX) opened 2026 with Q1 revenue of C¥3.3b and basic EPS of C¥1.21, against a trailing twelve month EPS of C¥8.59 and net income of C¥1,448.19m that translated into a 10.8% net margin over the past year. The company reported quarterly revenue of C¥3.10b in Q1 2025 and C¥3.31b in Q1 2026, while basic EPS went from C¥2.55 to C¥1.21 over the same period. This frames the latest results in the context of a year of 9% earnings growth and an improved margin profile that investors can consider as they evaluate the durability of the current level of profitability.
See our full analysis for LexinFintech Holdings.With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to compare these results with the prevailing narratives around LexinFintech Holdings and identify which stories the data supports and which it calls into question.
Margins and EPS Step Down From 2025 Highs
- Q1 2026 net income of C¥201.44m compares with the Q3 2025 peak of C¥521.27m, and basic EPS of C¥1.21 sits below the C¥3.06 reported in Q3 2025, even though trailing twelve month EPS is still C¥8.59 with a 10.8% net margin.
- Bears argue that regulatory pressure and rising compliance costs will squeeze profitability over time, and the recent move from C¥511.40m to C¥201.44m in quarterly net income since Q2 2025 fits that concern, even though:
- Trailing twelve month earnings still rose 9% and net margin ticked up from 9.4% to 10.8%, which softens the bearish claim that profitability is structurally deteriorating.
- Forecast earnings growth of about 4.06% per year suggests bears are not expecting a collapse, but rather a slower path, and the latest quarter is one data point within that more muted outlook.
9% Trailing Growth Versus Five Year Decline
- Over the last twelve months, earnings grew 9% after a five year period where earnings declined an average of 9.2% per year, and trailing net income reached C¥1,448.19m on revenue of C¥13.36b.
- Supporters highlight that this 9% trailing growth and the move in net margin from 9.4% to 10.8% heavily supports the bullish idea that AI driven efficiency and ecosystem effects are improving the earnings base, yet:
- The same data shows analysts only expect about 4.06% annual earnings growth and 1.1% revenue growth, which is much more restrained than the optimistic multi year revenue growth rates some bulls discuss.
- The five year record of a 9.2% annual earnings decline sits in the background, so anyone leaning on the bullish view needs to decide whether the recent 9% uplift is a real turning point or just a better year within a mixed history.
P/E Of 1.5x Versus DCF Fair Value
- At a share price of US$1.96, the stock trades on a P/E of 1.5x compared with peers at 4.1x and a US Consumer Finance industry average of 9.8x, and also sits well below a DCF fair value estimate of US$12.50.
- Consensus narrative notes that, even with forecasts for only about 4.06% annual earnings growth and an unstable dividend history, this combination of low P/E and DCF fair value gap creates a valuation story that is hard to ignore, yet:
- The same consensus expects earnings to reach about C¥1.6b with slightly lower margins in a few years, which keeps the focus on whether the current 10.8% net margin and 9% trailing growth can be held.
- The unstable dividend record and modest revenue growth forecast of around 1.1% per year mean the low multiple is not backed by a clean, steadily rising earnings and payout profile, which matters for income focused investors.
Next Steps
To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for LexinFintech Holdings on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
With such a mixed set of signals, the real question is what they add up to for you, right now, given your own risk tolerance and return expectations. Take a close look at the full picture, then weigh the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
See What Else Is Out There
LexinFintech Holdings has a low P/E and a wide gap to DCF fair value, yet its mixed earnings history, cautious forecasts and unstable dividend keep the story uncertain.
If those patchy earnings and dividend signals leave you wanting steadier potential, check out the 48 high quality undervalued stocks to find stocks where low valuations come with more consistent financial trends.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
