Li Auto (NasdaqGS:LI) Returns To Losses In Q1 2026 Testing Bullish Profitability Narratives

LI Auto

LI Auto

LI

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Li Auto (NasdaqGS:LI) opened 2026 with Q1 revenue of ¥22.98b and a reported loss of ¥2.29b, or EPS of ¥2.26, setting a cautious tone around profitability. The company has seen quarterly revenue move from ¥44.27b in Q4 2024 to ¥22.98b in Q1 2026, while EPS has swung from ¥3.52 to a loss of ¥2.26, putting the focus squarely on how well costs are being managed against that revenue base. With investors already watching forecasts for earnings growth and a shift toward profitability, this quarter's results keep margins and the path to cleaner earnings firmly in the spotlight.

See our full analysis for Li Auto.

With the latest figures on the table, the next step is to see how these margins and earnings trends line up with the most common stories investors tell about Li Auto, and where those stories might need updating.

NasdaqGS:LI Earnings & Revenue History as at May 2026
NasdaqGS:LI Earnings & Revenue History as at May 2026

Losses Return After Brief Profitability

  • Li Auto swung from a small profit of ¥6.5m in Q4 2025 to a net loss of ¥2.3b in Q1 2026, with basic EPS moving from essentially breakeven at ¥0.01 to a loss of ¥2.26 over the same period.
  • Bulls argue heavy spending today can support much higher earnings later. However, the move from trailing 12 month net income of ¥1.1b at Q4 2025 to a trailing loss of ¥1.8b at Q1 2026 means:
    • The bullish view of earnings growing about 51.8% a year and margins rising over time now has to reconcile with a fresh quarterly loss and negative trailing EPS of ¥1.80.
    • Forecasts for Li Auto to become profitable within three years lean heavily on this spending paying off, even though the recent period shows reported profitability slipping back into the red.

Supporters who think this earnings dip is a trade off for future growth will want to see how that thesis is built out in more detail in the bullish case for Li Auto 🐂 Li Auto Bull Case

Revenue Slows While Growth Story Stays Ambitious

  • Quarterly revenue eased from ¥30,245.6m in Q2 2025 to ¥22,982.9m in Q1 2026, even as trailing 12 month revenue at Q1 2026 still sat at a sizeable ¥109,368.6m, with revenue growth forecasts around 13.7% a year versus a 11.9% market proxy.
  • Bears highlight that slower recent revenue and rising spending could pressure margins, and the numbers give them some support:
    • The move from trailing 12 month revenue of ¥144,753.1m at Q1 2025 to ¥109,368.6m at Q1 2026, alongside a trailing loss of ¥1.8b, contrasts with concerns that growth might underperform and keep profitability under strain.
    • At the same time, forecasts still point to revenue growth outpacing the broader 11.9% market proxy, which pushes back on the bearish idea of a structurally weakening top line.

Investors who worry the recent loss signals deeper issues can see how skeptics build their argument and where the weak spots might be 🐻 Li Auto Bear Case

Valuation Caught Between Growth Hopes And Rich Multiples

  • With the share price at US$15.54, Li Auto trades at about 1x P/S on trailing 12 month data compared with 0.6x for the US auto industry and 0.5x for peers. The supplied DCF fair value of US$15.13 sits just below the current price and the allowed analyst price target reference is US$20.84.
  • Consensus narrative points to strong growth as the reason investors might accept this higher multiple, yet current figures create a tension:
    • Trailing 12 month net income moved from ¥8.1b at Q1 2025 to a loss of ¥1.8b at Q1 2026, which does not yet line up with a clean profitability story that would usually justify paying a premium P/S above industry and peers.
    • At the same time, forecasts for revenue growth of about 14.9% a year and earnings expansion of roughly 51.8% a year explain why the stock trades close to both the DCF fair value of US$15.13 and a higher analyst target reference of US$20.84 rather than at a clear discount.

Next Steps

To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Li Auto on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

If this mix of cautious signals and optimistic forecasts still feels unresolved, take a closer look at the details and evaluate the bullish points for yourself with 1 key reward

See What Else Is Out There

Li Auto's return to losses, weaker recent revenue, and premium P/S against peers highlight that earnings quality and resilience are still open questions.

If that mix of uncertainty makes you cautious, compare it with companies that score better on stability and downside protection using the 64 resilient stocks with low risk scores.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.