Lockheed Martin (LMT) is back in focus after signing a memorandum of understanding to co produce ATACMS missiles in Europe and after supporting plans for a dedicated PAC 3 missile maintenance facility tied to recent NATO agreements.

These European missile agreements come after a reset in defense stocks earlier this year. Lockheed Martin’s share price is down 14.9% over 90 days but still shows a 4.8% year to date share price return and a 12.9% 1 year total shareholder return, suggesting longer term holders have fared better than recent buyers.

If you are looking beyond major defense contractors and want to see what else is moving in adjacent technologies, it could be worth scanning 34 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

After a 14.9% pullback over 90 days, alongside a 12.9% 1-year total return and with new European missile projects on the table, does it make more sense to add Lockheed Martin now or wait for a cleaner entry on valuation?

Most Popular Narrative: 22.7% Undervalued

Lockheed Martin's most followed valuation narrative places fair value at $673.88 per share versus the last close of $520.68, framing the current pullback against a higher long term target.

Orbit is the long-term bet: space is becoming a must-have layer of modern defense, like “roads and rails” for information and targeting.

Lockheed can “industrialize orbit”: not just building satellites, but building them repeatably, on schedule, at controlled cost (like a production system).

Want to see what sits behind that orbit thesis and the fair value estimate? The narrative leans on specific revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and a future earnings multiple that may surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $673.88 (UNDERVALUED)

However, this Lockheed Martin thesis still runs into real pressure if margins stay subdued while capital spending stays high, or if Pentagon demand expectations prove too optimistic.

Next Steps

With both risks and rewards on the table for Lockheed Martin, it may be helpful to review the underlying data and form your own stance using the 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.