McGraw Hill Q4 revenue falls on weaker K-12 demand

McGraw Hill

McGraw Hill

MH

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Overview

  • US education solutions provider's fiscal Q4 revenue fell 2% yr/yr on weaker K-12 demand

  • Company's Q4 net loss narrowed compared to prior year period

  • Board approved $50 mln share repurchase plan


Outlook

  • McGraw Hill sees fiscal 2027 revenue between $2.115 bln and $2.175 bln

  • Company expects fiscal 2027 re-occurring revenue of $1.587 bln to $1.627 bln

  • McGraw Hill targets fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA of $750 mln to $790 mln


Result Drivers

  • K-12 WEAKNESS - Q4 revenue declined due to a smaller K-12 market opportunity, partially offset by strong Higher Education performance

  • HIGHER EDUCATION STRENGTH - Higher Education revenue grew 1.6% yr/yr in Q4, supported by share gains, pricing favorability and beneficial enrollment trends


Company press release: ID:nBwD6KY2a


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

$463.72 mln

Q4 EPS

-$0.26

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

$61.17 mln

Q4 Net Income

-$50.27 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

$130.58 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Margin

28.20%


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 12 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the consumer publishing peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for McGraw Hill Inc is $19.00, about 48.4% above its June 10 closing price of $12.80

  • The stock recently traded at 7 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 8 three months ago


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