NuScale Power (SMR) is back in focus after progress on its Romanian small modular reactor project, potential deployments with the Tennessee Valley Authority, and a new Houston office that is intended to support future reactor rollouts.

Those contract milestones and the Houston expansion come after a tougher stretch for the stock, with the share price down 30.1% year to date and the 1 year total shareholder return down 62.3%, although the 3 year total shareholder return is up 46.3%.

If NuScale’s story has your attention, this is a good moment to see what else is happening in nuclear energy by scanning 88 nuclear energy infrastructure stocks

With the stock down sharply from recent levels, but analysts still seeing upside to a US$15.36 price target on average, the key question is simple: is NuScale undervalued today or already pricing in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 15.7% Undervalued

According to the most followed narrative, NuScale’s fair value sits at $13.53 per share against a last close of $11.40, which implies meaningful upside from here if that view plays out.

Ultimately, the success of the NuScale SMR technology is no longer purely a matter of nuclear engineering or regulatory certification. It is now a function of whether ENTRA1 can successfully finance and execute massive infrastructure projects like the 6-gigawatt TVA program and whether NuScale can survive the intense financial and legal pressure of its pre-commercial transition. As Fluor exits the equity structure in mid-2026, NuScale will stand alone, its fate inextricably tied to the commercial efficacy of Wadie Habboush and the ENTRA1 Energy platform.

This valuation narrative, shared by AndrewHabib, leans heavily on rapid revenue expansion, improving margins over time, and a future earnings multiple more commonly associated with mature growth stories, without yet baking in every aggressive upside scenario.

Result: Fair Value of $13.53 (UNDERVALUED)

However, there is still real risk here, including NuScale’s ongoing net losses and the possibility that ENTRA1 projects or class action outcomes fall short of expectations.

Next Steps

If you are evaluating whether the mix of risks and potential rewards matches your own risk tolerance and time horizon, you may want to review the details and consider the trade offs for yourself by starting with 1 key reward and 3 important warning signs

Looking for more investment ideas?

If NuScale is on your radar, do not stop there. Use this moment to line up a shortlist of other stocks that could fit your goals.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.