Oatly (OTLY) Stock Faces Ongoing Losses As Q2 2026 EPS Miss Undercuts Bullish Narratives

Oatly Group AB

Oatly Group AB

OTLY

0.00

Oatly Group (NasdaqGS:OTLY) has released its Q2 2026 numbers, with revenue of US$240.1 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.99, alongside trailing twelve month revenue of US$925.0 million and a basic EPS loss of US$4.11. The company has seen quarterly revenue move from US$208.4 million in Q2 2025 to US$240.1 million in Q2 2026, while quarterly basic EPS loss shifted from US$1.86 to US$0.99 over the same period. Investors now have a fuller view of how these top line gains compare with ongoing losses. With the share price at US$10.78, this set of results highlights how efficiently Oatly Group is converting sales into cash and whether margins are moving in a direction that can support a more durable earnings profile.

See our full analysis for Oatly Group.

With the latest quarter on the table, the next step is to see how these numbers compare with the widely held narratives around Oatly Group's growth, risks, and long term profit potential, and where those stories might need to be updated.

NasdaqGS:OTLY Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026
NasdaqGS:OTLY Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jul 2026

Slower 4.7% revenue growth versus wider market

  • Over the last 12 months, Oatly Group generated trailing revenue of US$925.0 million, with revenue growth of 4.7% per year compared with the referenced US market rate of 12.6% per year.
  • Consensus narrative expects product launches and international expansion to support faster growth. However, the 4.7% pace and Q2 revenue of US$240.1 million show that
    • revenue trends are currently running behind the broader market, which challenges the idea of rapid outperformance in the near term, and
    • investors weighing this balanced view may focus on whether existing channels can lift growth from this modest base.

Losses narrow over five years but Q2 net loss still US$31 million

  • For Q2 2026, Oatly Group reported a net loss of US$31.3 million and trailing 12 month losses of US$127.7 million, while over the past five years losses have been reduced at about 6.1% per year.
  • Bulls argue that ongoing cost efficiencies and margin work will improve earnings quality, and the 6.1% annual loss reduction gives some support because
    • the trailing loss of US$127.7 million is smaller than the US$194.1 million loss cited a year earlier in the bullish assumptions, and
    • Q2 2026 EPS loss of US$0.99 compares with much larger quarterly losses like US$2.15 per share in Q3 2025, suggesting operations are moving closer to break even even though profitability has not yet been reached.
For readers who want to see how optimistic investors connect these cost trends to future growth potential, check out the 🐂 Oatly Group Bull Case.

Cheap 0.4x P/S, but negative equity and ongoing losses

  • Oatly Group trades on a P/S of 0.4x versus peers at 4.0x and the US Food industry at 0.7x, while the DCF fair value cited is US$16.92 compared with the current share price of US$10.78, yet the company reports negative shareholders’ equity and trailing losses of US$127.7 million.
  • Bears point to negative equity and a lack of forecast profitability over the next three years, and the current numbers align with that caution because
    • the balance sheet risk flagged as negative shareholders’ equity sits alongside continuing net losses, which is a very different story from a cheap stock that is already solidly profitable, and
    • the discount to the DCF fair value and low P/S multiple occur while the business is still loss making, so the valuation gap reflects both potential upside and material capital risk rather than a simple mispricing.
If you are weighing that low P/S against the balance sheet concerns, it is worth reading how skeptics frame the story in the 🐻 Oatly Group Bear Case.

Next Steps

To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Oatly Group on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

With sentiment split between Oatly Group's risks and rewards, it helps to get closer to the raw numbers and build your own conviction quickly. To see both sides laid out clearly so you can stress test your thesis, start with the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs.

See What Else Is Out There Beyond Oatly Group

Oatly Group is growing revenue more slowly than the wider market while carrying ongoing losses and negative shareholders' equity, which adds balance sheet risk for investors.

If you want companies where financial strength is less of a question mark, start screening for sturdier candidates using the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (49 results).

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.