Philip Morris Q4 adjusted EPS beats estimates on smoke-free business growth

Philip Morris International Inc. -0.22% Pre

Philip Morris International Inc.

PM

172.87

172.87

-0.22%

0.00% Pre


Overview

  • Tobacco company's Q4 revenue slightly missed analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company's smoke-free business net revenue grew 12% in Q4


Outlook

  • Philip Morris forecasts 2026 reported diluted EPS of $7.87 to $8.02

  • Company expects 2026 adjusted diluted EPS growth of 11.1% to 13.1%

  • Philip Morris targets 6% to 8% organic net revenue growth for 2026-2028


Result Drivers

  • SMOKE-FREE BUSINESS - Full-year shipment volumes up 12.8%, net revenues growing by 15.0%, contributing 41.5% of total net revenues

  • IQOS MARKET SHARE - IQOS holds 76% volume share in heat-not-burn category, with notable growth in Japan and Europe

  • NICOTINE POUCHES - U.S. nicotine pouches grew nearly 37%, leading the category with ZYN holding around two-thirds value share


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Slight Miss*

$10.36 bln

$10.44 bln (12 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$7.54

$1.70 (13 Analysts)

Q4 Dividend

$1.47

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 12 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the tobacco peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Philip Morris International Inc is $180.00, about 1.1% below its February 5 closing price of $182.00

  • The stock recently traded at 22 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBw7kq7Xca

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


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