PRECIOUS-Gold edges higher on soft US inflation, Gulf conflict clouds rate outlook
July 15 (Reuters) - Gold edged higher on Wednesday after U.S. inflation data eased concerns over near-term rate hikes, though renewed hostilities in the Gulf and a sharp rise in oil prices kept investors focused on the interest-rate outlook, limiting gains in non-yielding bullion.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Spot gold XAU= was up 0.1% at $4,056.69 per ounce by 0108 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 for August delivery eased 0.1% to $4,063.80.
* Gold jumped more than 2% on Tuesday, rebounding from a two-week low, after data showed U.S. consumer inflation slowed more than expected in June as energy prices retreated.
* The moderation in inflation was, however, insufficient to persuade financial markets to fully price out a U.S. interest-rate increase this year, as renewed conflict in the Middle East fuelled concerns about higher energy prices and inflation.
* Oil prices extended gains to a third consecutive session as U.S. President Donald Trump reimposed a naval blockade of all Iranian ports and threatened to hit power plants and bridges next week unless Tehran resumes negotiations, in the latest U.S. escalation of the conflict. O/R
* Top Federal Reserve officials welcomed cool inflation figures, but said they would need more such readings to feel confident that price pressures are truly easing.
* A fuller picture of inflation in June will emerge when the government publishes its Producer Price Index later in the day.
* Traders now see about a 58% chance of a rate increase at the Fed's September meeting, versus 76% before the report, CME FedWatch Tool's data showed. FEDWATCH/
* Investors awaited China's second-quarter economic data, with analysts expecting growth to slow toward the lower end of Beijing's annual target, potentially dampening demand from one of the world's largest gold consumers.
* On the supply side, Ghana's Gold Board said artisanal and small-scale mining output was on track to match or exceed last year's record, while South Africa reported a 5.4% annual decline in mining output in May.
* Elsewhere, spot silver XAG= rose 0.4% to $58.86 per ounce. Platinum XPT= gained 0.3% to $1,636.28 and palladium XPD= edged 0.1% lower to $1,304.10.
* Citi Research kept its zero to three-month point price targets unchanged at $1,950 an ounce for platinum and $1,500/oz for palladium.
DATA/EVENTS (GMT) |
|
0200 |
China Urban Investment (YTD) YY June |
0200 |
0200 China Retail Sales YY June |
0200 |
0200 China GDP YY Q2 |
0200 |
0200 China Unemp Rate Urban Area June |
1230 |
US PPI Machine Manuf'ing June |
