REFILE-Flowers Foods Q1 sales rise as Simple Mills acquisition offsets volume declines

Flowers Foods, Inc.

Flowers Foods, Inc.

FLO

0.00

Corrects to remove extraneous word from headline


Overview

  • U.S. packaged bakery producer's Q1 sales rose 1.1%, as the Simple Mills acquisition, pricing/mix offset volume declines

  • Adjusted EPS for Q1 beat analyst expectations

  • Company cites volume declines and higher interest expense as weighing on net income


Outlook

  • Flowers Foods expects 2026 net sales of $5.163 bln to $5.267 bln, down -1.8% to up 0.2%

  • Company sees 2026 adjusted EBITDA between $465 mln and $495 mln

  • Flowers Foods expects 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.80 to $0.90


Result Drivers

  • NET SALES - The increase of pricing/mix and the Simple Mills acquisition rose net sales

  • HIGHER INTEREST EXPENSE - Net income fell due to higher interest expense from debt issued to fund the Simple Mills acquisition

  • INFLATIONARY PRESSURE - Co said inflationary pressure on consumer spending contributed to lower sales in non-branded categories


Company press release: ID:nPnrmhrFa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Sales

Slight Miss*

$1.57 bln

$1.58 bln (5 Analysts)

Q1 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.29

$0.26 (5 Analysts)

Q1 EPS

$0.20

Q1 Adjusted Net Income

$60.90 mln

Q1 Net Income

$42.10 mln

Q1 Adjusted EBITDA

$159 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the food processing peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Flowers Foods Inc is $8.00, about 10.5% above its May 20 closing price of $7.24

  • The stock recently traded at 9 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 12 three months ago


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