Results: Generac Holdings Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Generac Holdings Inc. GNRC | 0.00 |
Shareholders of Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE:GNRC) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 19% to US$259 following its latest quarterly results. Revenues were US$1.1b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$1.24, an impressive 26% ahead of estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Generac Holdings' 18 analysts is for revenues of US$4.91b in 2026. This would reflect a solid 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 128% to US$7.34. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$4.84b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$6.98 in 2026. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Generac Holdings' earnings potential following these results.
The consensus price target rose 7.7% to US$266, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Generac Holdings at US$325 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$212. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Generac Holdings shareholders.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Generac Holdings' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 18% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 4.3% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 13% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Generac Holdings to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Generac Holdings' earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Generac Holdings analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Even so, be aware that Generac Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
