• Coinbase Global has relaunched direct Indian rupee deposits and withdrawals via IMPS as of June 1, 2026, adding local INR spot and perpetual futures trading after registering with India’s Financial Intelligence Unit.
• This move reduces reliance on intermediaries, lowers scam risk for Indian users, and signals a long-term commitment to building regulated, fiat-to-crypto infrastructure in one of the world’s largest retail markets.
• Next, we’ll examine how Coinbase’s renewed INR fiat rails and derivatives access in India could influence its existing investment narrative.

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Coinbase Global Investment Narrative Recap

To own Coinbase, you need to believe crypto keeps integrating into mainstream finance while the company builds out regulated, global trading and payment rails. The key near term catalyst remains broader trading activity, which still drives much of Coinbase’s revenue, while the biggest risk is prolonged volume weakness and fee pressure. The India INR relaunch supports the long term infrastructure story, but does not by itself offset recent concerns about softer revenue expectations and upcoming convertible note cash demands.

The most relevant recent development here is Coinbase’s CFTC approval, alongside Kalshi, to offer perpetual futures to U.S. investors and provide access to Deribit through its app. Together with INR spot and perpetuals in India, this extends Coinbase’s derivatives reach across major markets, directly tying into the catalyst that a broader product set could deepen engagement from advanced traders and help diversify activity beyond simple spot volume.

Yet beneath the expansion headlines, investors should be aware that Coinbase’s heavy reliance on trading volumes and related fee pressure could still...

Coinbase Global's narrative projects $8.5 billion revenue and $2.1 billion earnings by 2028.

Uncover how Coinbase Global's forecasts yield a $383.46 fair value, a 110% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Some of the most optimistic analysts were already modeling revenue of about US$9.8 billion and earnings near US$3.1 billion by 2029, compared with the more cautious focus on volume and fee risks that the new India and U.S. derivatives moves may either support or fall short of, reminding you that reasonable views on Coinbase’s potential can differ widely.

Explore 13 other fair value estimates on Coinbase Global - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Decide For Yourself

Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.

• A great starting point for your Coinbase Global research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Coinbase Global research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Coinbase Global's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.