Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (NYSE:TDS) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. TDS | 44.89 | +1.70% |
Most readers would already be aware that Telephone and Data Systems' (NYSE:TDS) stock increased significantly by 21% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Telephone and Data Systems' ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Telephone and Data Systems is:
3.1% = US$165m ÷ US$5.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.03 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Telephone and Data Systems' Earnings Growth And 3.1% ROE
It is quite clear that Telephone and Data Systems' ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 15%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, Telephone and Data Systems' five year net income decline of 56% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.
So, as a next step, we compared Telephone and Data Systems' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 37% over the last few years.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Telephone and Data Systems fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Telephone and Data Systems Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
In spite of a normal LTM (or last twelve month) payout ratio of 33% (that is, a retention ratio of 67%), the fact that Telephone and Data Systems' earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
In addition, Telephone and Data Systems has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 187% over the next three years. Therefore, the expected rise in the payout ratio explains why the company's ROE is expected to decline to 0.7% over the same period.
Conclusion
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Telephone and Data Systems' performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
