Teradata (TDC) Stock Price Reset Sharpens Focus On 5.4x P/E
Teradata Corporation TDC | 0.00 |
Teradata stock just endured a brutal reset, sliding almost 24% to about US$26 even though the latest quarter showed solid earnings power. Non GAAP operating margin reached 21.5% and non GAAP earnings per share came in at US$0.69, comfortably ahead of guidance. That clash between price and profit is the real story.
Over the past month the stock was already under pressure, with the 30 day return down 28%. Now investors are weighing a much cheaper P/E of 5.4x against a business that just delivered 27.1% trailing net margin and stronger free cash flow.
Is Teradata at 5.4x P/E a genuine bargain or just a low multiple attached to weakening expectations? Compare the sell off with the earnings power in our valuation analysis for Teradata
Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
- Revenue (Q2 2026 vs. Q2 2025): US$410 million vs. US$408 million (broadly flat, up around 0.5%)
- Net Income Excl. Extra Items (Q2 2026 vs. Q2 2025): US$46 million vs. US$9 million (very large year on year increase)
- Basic EPS (Q2 2026 vs. Q2 2025): US$0.49 vs. US$0.09 (very large year on year increase)
- Non GAAP Operating Margin (Q2 2026 vs. Q2 2025): 21.5% vs. 16.4% (margin higher year on year)
Prefer clean charts over pages of raw earnings figures and margin tables? See Teradata's full visual breakdown of its valuation and how the current P/E fits into the bigger picture in our company report for Teradata.
Teradata bull case: AI pivot meets cash discipline
Bulls argue Teradata can turn its AI and hybrid push into durable, higher quality earnings. Q2 gives some backing to that view. Recurring revenue reached US$363 million and grew 3% year on year, with cloud ARR up 8% and total ARR positive. That supports the idea that AI Factory, the Autonomous Knowledge Platform and early agentic AI wins are starting to land in real contracts. Non GAAP operating margin improved to 21.5% and year to date sits at 24.5%, while adjusted free cash flow of US$127 million helped move the balance sheet to a US$323 million net cash position and clear the US$450 million term loan. Raised non GAAP EPS and free cash flow guidance suggests cost discipline and restructuring are tracking ahead of plan, even as management keeps funding AI products and partnerships.
Teradata bear case: growth, guidance and services friction
The bear case centers on slow growth, services drag and execution risk. Q2 addresses some worries but not all. Total revenue of US$410 million was flat year on year and recurring revenue growth of 3% is still modest for an AI platform story. Q3 guidance points to year on year declines in total revenue of 6% to 4% and recurring revenue of 4% to 2%, which keeps alive concerns that cloud migration and new workloads are not yet offsetting legacy pressure. Consulting revenue of US$39 million fell about 24% year on year, reinforcing fears that services remain a structural headwind even if bookings and backlog are improving. The sharp 23.7% share price drop after the report shows that investors are treating the softer second half revenue outlook and accounting driven timing issues as proof that Teradata’s AI and hybrid thesis still has execution hurdles.
Compare Teradata’s stronger margins and net cash position with the sharp 23.7% share price drop to consider whether the stock is being reset or simply mispriced. See the consensus price target analysis for Teradata to check how Wall Street’s targets line up with that gap.Stay Ahead Of Your Next Move
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
