There's No Escaping Huntsman Corporation's (NYSE:HUN) Muted Revenues Despite A 25% Share Price Rise
Huntsman Corporation HUN | 12.91 | -0.84% |
Despite an already strong run, Huntsman Corporation (NYSE:HUN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Huntsman as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Huntsman Has Been Performing
Huntsman could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Huntsman.How Is Huntsman's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Huntsman's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.5%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 32% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.4% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 5.8%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Huntsman is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Huntsman's P/S?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Huntsman's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Huntsman maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Huntsman is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Huntsman, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
