Tractor Supply Q2 sales slightly miss estimates on seasonal, discretionary categories weakness

Tractor Supply Company

Tractor Supply Company

TSCO

0.00


Overview

  • US rural lifestyle retailer's Q2 net sales rose 2.3%, slightly missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q2 missed analyst expectations

  • Comparable store sales fell 1.5% due to weak May performance in seasonal and discretionary categories


Outlook

  • Company sees fiscal 2026 net sales up 2.5% to 3.5%

  • Tractor Supply expects fiscal 2026 comparable store sales between down 1% and flat

  • Company projects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.90 to $2.00


Result Drivers

  • SEASONAL AND DISCRETIONARY WEAKNESS - Co said May results were pressured by softness in seasonal categories, including big-ticket items, and lower spending in discretionary categories

  • CONSUMABLE CATEGORIES RESILIENT - Co said consumable, usable and edible categories remained resilient overall, partially offsetting headwinds

  • HIGHER SG&A EXPENSES - Co said adjusted SG&A expenses rose due to deleverage from lower comparable store sales and higher medical claims and legal settlement expenses


Company press release: ID:nBw5MctQLa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Sales

Slight Miss*

$4.54 bln

$4.58 bln (22 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.81

$0.82 (26 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

$0.69

Q2 Gross Margin

37.10%

Q2 Comparable Store Sales Growth

-1.50%

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 16 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the miscellaneous specialty retailers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Tractor Supply Co is $37.50, about 27.7% above its July 22 closing price of $29.36

  • The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 20 three months ago


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