Tractor Supply Q2 sales slightly miss estimates on seasonal, discretionary categories weakness
Tractor Supply Company TSCO | 0.00 |
Overview
US rural lifestyle retailer's Q2 net sales rose 2.3%, slightly missing analyst expectations
Adjusted EPS for Q2 missed analyst expectations
Comparable store sales fell 1.5% due to weak May performance in seasonal and discretionary categories
Outlook
Company sees fiscal 2026 net sales up 2.5% to 3.5%
Tractor Supply expects fiscal 2026 comparable store sales between down 1% and flat
Company projects fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.90 to $2.00
Result Drivers
SEASONAL AND DISCRETIONARY WEAKNESS - Co said May results were pressured by softness in seasonal categories, including big-ticket items, and lower spending in discretionary categories
CONSUMABLE CATEGORIES RESILIENT - Co said consumable, usable and edible categories remained resilient overall, partially offsetting headwinds
HIGHER SG&A EXPENSES - Co said adjusted SG&A expenses rose due to deleverage from lower comparable store sales and higher medical claims and legal settlement expenses
Company press release: ID:nBw5MctQLa
Key Details
Metric |
Beat/Miss |
Actual |
Consensus Estimate |
Q2 Sales |
Slight Miss* |
$4.54 bln |
$4.58 bln (22 Analysts) |
Q2 Adjusted EPS |
Miss |
$0.81 |
$0.82 (26 Analysts) |
Q2 EPS |
|
$0.69 |
|
Q2 Gross Margin |
|
37.10% |
|
Q2 Comparable Store Sales Growth |
|
-1.50% |
|
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 16 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the miscellaneous specialty retailers peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Tractor Supply Co is $37.50, about 27.7% above its July 22 closing price of $29.36
The stock recently traded at 14 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 20 three months ago
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