Union Bankshares (UNB) Non Performing Loan Surge Tests Bullish Margin Narrative

Union Bankshares, Inc.

Union Bankshares, Inc.

UNB

0.00

Union Bankshares (UNB) has wrapped up FY 2025 with fourth quarter revenue of US$14.0 million and basic EPS of US$0.60, contributing to trailing twelve month revenue of US$53.7 million and EPS of US$2.43. Over the last few reporting periods, revenue has ranged from US$10.6 million in Q3 2024 to US$14.2 million in Q3 2025, while quarterly EPS has moved between US$0.29 and US$0.75 across that span. This provides investors with clear data points on both top line activity and per share profitability. Taken together with the improvement in net profit margin to 20.6% and the recent 26.5% earnings growth figure, the latest results highlight a period where profitability metrics are front and center for anyone tracking this bank’s earnings story.

See our full analysis for Union Bankshares.

With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to see how this set of results lines up against the prevailing narratives around Union Bankshares, and where the data challenges what investors might have assumed going into the quarter.

NasdaqGM:UNB Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at May 2026
NasdaqGM:UNB Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at May 2026

Margins and Costs Move Together

  • Across FY 2025, net interest margin sat in a tight band between 2.88% and 3.03%, while the cost to income ratio ranged from 70.15% to 83.42%. This shows how small shifts in funding and operating costs can quickly change how much of each revenue dollar becomes profit.
  • Bulls often lean on this kind of steady net interest margin as a sign of a traditional community bank holding its ground. However, the FY 2025 cost to income ratio of 75.14% on a trailing basis keeps pressure on efficiency, so the bullish view is partly supported by the 2.93% trailing net interest margin but also challenged by the relatively high cost base that still absorbs more than two thirds of income.
    • Support for the bullish angle comes from the move in trailing net interest margin from 2.77% to 2.93%, paired with trailing twelve month net income of US$11.08 million on US$53.68 million of revenue.
    • On the other hand, critics of the bullish stance can point to quarterly cost to income readings as high as 83.42% in Q3 2024, which underline how sensitive profitability is to even modest swings in expenses or revenue growth.

Curious how these margin and cost trends feed into the broader story that other investors are watching for Union Bankshares right now? Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives

Loan Book And Credit Quality Signals

  • Total loans stayed in a relatively narrow range around US$1,102.77 million to US$1,174.73 million over the last six reported quarters, while non performing loans rose from US$1.89 million in Q4 2024 to US$13.80 million by Q4 2025. The allowance for bad loans is flagged at 61%, which puts asset quality and reserves squarely on the checklist for bank shareholders.
  • Bears often focus on credit risk at regional banks, and the combination of higher non performing loans and a relatively low 61% allowance for bad loans provides some support for that cautious view. Yet the bank still produced trailing twelve month net income of US$11.08 million and a net profit margin of 20.6%, so the bearish case has to weigh evident credit pressure against the fact that the bank remains profitable on its current loan book.
    • Skeptics highlight the jump in non performing loans from under US$2 million in late 2024 to over US$13 million by Q4 2025 as a concrete sign that credit issues have become more visible on the balance sheet.
    • What may soften that bearish concern is that, despite these credit metrics and the low reported allowance level, the bank still generated basic EPS of US$2.43 over the trailing twelve months, which shows that earnings have not been wiped out by problem loans at this stage.

Valuation, Margin And Dividend Together

  • Union Bankshares trades at a trailing P/E of 10.2x against a DCF fair value of US$31.91 per share and a current market price of US$24.55, while also reporting a 20.6% net profit margin and a 5.87% dividend yield. Together, these metrics frame how investors might think about what they are paying for each dollar of earnings and income today.
  • Supporters of the more bullish narrative argue that a 26.5% earnings rise over the past year, a dividend yield of 5.87% and a share price sitting about 23% below the DCF fair value stack up as an appealing combination. Yet the same data set also records a 7.7% annualized decline in earnings over five years and that relatively low 61% allowance for bad loans, so the bullish case around value and income is strengthened by near term profitability but tested by the longer term earnings track record and credit reserve metrics.
    • On the supportive side for bulls, trailing twelve month basic EPS of US$2.43 on a P/E of 10.2x looks cheaper than the wider US Banks industry average P/E of 11.5x, which is often cited when investors compare regional banks.
    • Balancing that, the same 10.2x P/E is richer than the peer average of 9.3x and sits alongside the 7.7% five year annualized earnings decline, which bears may point to when questioning how much weight to give the recent 26.5% earnings growth and dividend checks.

Next Steps

Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on Union Bankshares's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.

Balancing those mixed signals on earnings, credit quality and valuation is not straightforward. It makes sense to review the underlying figures yourself and decide how they fit your own risk tolerance and income goals. To weigh up both sides of the story quickly, take a look at the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs

See What Else Is Out There

Union Bankshares is wrestling with rising non performing loans, a modest 61% allowance for bad loans and a five year annualized earnings decline of 7.7%.

If those credit and earnings pressures feel like a bit too much risk for your portfolio right now, compare this profile against 72 resilient stocks with low risk scores and see how sturdier options stack up.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.