UPDATE 2-US crude and gasoline inventories fell last week, exports ticked higher, EIA says

Updates price reaction in paragraph 3, adds analyst comments in paragraphs 7,9-10, details from report

Crude and gasoline inventories fell more than expected

Oil prices fluctuated after report; Brent dipped, WTI futures pared gains

Analysts warn of tight market, possible gasoline price surge, and low inventories ahead of driving season

By Liz Hampton and Georgina McCartney

- U.S. crude and gasoline stocks fell last week amid an increase in exports, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, as the Iran war roiled oil markets and countries turned to the United States for supply.

Crude inventories fell by 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million barrels in the week ended May 8, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.1-million-barrel draw. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub USOICC=ECI dropped by 1.7 million barrels in the week, the EIA said.

Oil futures extended gains immediately after the report was released, but Brent prices later declined and U.S. futures pared gains. Global Brent crude futures LCOc1 were trading at $107.44 a barrel, down 33 cents, at 11:21 a.m. ET (1521 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures CLc1 were up 72 cents at $102.90 a barrel.

Crude exports rose by 742,000 barrels per day, to 5.49 million bpd in the week, while net U.S. crude imports USOICI=ECI fell last week by 318,000 bpd, the EIA said.

Refinery crude runs USOICR=ECI rose by 370,000 bpd in the week, the EIA said, and utilization rates USOIRU=ECI climbed by 1.6 percentage points in the week to 91.7%.

PRODUCERS RESPOND TO WAR

"We did see a large size uptick in domestic production for the first time since the war started, implying we can see producers perhaps starting to take advantage of higher prices and drilling," said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

U.S. gasoline stocks USOILG=ECI fell by 4.1 million barrels in the week to 215.7 million barrels, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.9-million-barrel draw.​ Gasoline exports rose by 192,000 bpd to 1.05 million bpd during the week.

"With the dynamics we are flirting with right now in this market, we could catch the all-time high of $5 a gallon for gasoline again," Yawger added, referring to June 2022, when prices at the pump surged in response to sanctions on oil producer Russia after it invaded Ukraine, and a squeeze on refining capacity.

“Another EIA report showing a tightening of the oil market, with total oil inventories falling by nearly 14 million barrels. Meanwhile, U.S. gasoline inventories will start from a low level in the upcoming U.S. driving season," said Giovanni Staunovo, a UBS analyst.

Distillate stockpiles USOILD=ECI, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 200,000 barrels in the week to 102.5 million barrels, versus expectations for a 2.7-million-barrel drop, the EIA data showed.

Total product supplied, a proxy for demand, fell by 407,000 bpd to 19.89 million bpd. Consumption of gasoline was down by 59,000 bpd to 8.75 million bpd.