Qualcomm Stock Sinks 11%: AI Momentum Hits Profit-Taking Wall Despite $20 Billion Buyback

Broadcom Limited
NVIDIA Corporation
Qualcomm
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR

Broadcom Limited

AVGO

0.00

NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA

0.00

Qualcomm

QCOM

0.00

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR

TSM

0.00

Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ:QCOM) is trading lower by more than 11% on Tuesday as traders digest the company's recent AI-device push and capital-return messaging while the broader market is sliding, with the S&P 500 down 1%.

• Qualcomm shares are retreating from recent levels. Why are QCOM shares down?

The move also comes as investors weigh Qualcomm's longer-term growth narrative against a risk-off tape that's pressuring high-momentum names.

The latest attention follows Qualcomm's fiscal second-quarter update on April 29, when it posted adjusted EPS of $2.65 on revenue of $10.60 billion, topping consensus estimates of $2.56 and $10.59 billion, respectively.

Management also highlighted capital returns, including $5.4 billion of buybacks in the first half of fiscal 2026 and a newly announced $20 billion repurchase authorization.

With markets open, the selling pressure looks more macro-driven than sector-driven: the Nasdaq is down 1.90%, and the Russell 2000 is down 2.43%, while market breadth is slightly negative (advance/decline ratio of 0.8). Communication Services is holding near unchanged (+0.01%, ranked fifth of 11 sectors), so Qualcomm's drop stands out as stock-specific profit-taking after a sharp run.

The PHLX Semiconductor Sector, comprising semiconductor stocks led by NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO), such as Qualcomm, traded lower by close to 6% on Tuesday.

Technical Analysis

From a longer-term trend view, Qualcomm is still extended above its major moving averages — trading 29.2% above its 20-day SMA and 32.8% above its 200-day SMA — leaving less room for error when the tape turns risk-off.

The trend picture is mixed: the 20-day SMA is above the 50-day SMA (bullish near-term), but the death cross from February (50-day below the 200-day) is a reminder that the bigger-cycle trend only recently stabilized.

Momentum is the bigger tell right now: RSI is 88.39, which signals the move has been stretched and prone to sharp pullbacks or sideways digestion even if the longer-term uptrend remains intact. Key levels matter more in this setup because extended RSI readings can unwind quickly once buyers step back.

  • Key Support: $172 — Nearby level where buyers previously stepped in, sitting close to the 20-day EMA ($172.59) and acting as a practical "line in the sand" if the pullback deepens.

Earnings & Analyst Outlook

Looking further out, the next major catalyst for the stock arrives with the July 29 (estimated) earnings report.

  • EPS Estimate: $2.09 (Down from $2.77 year-over-year)
  • Revenue Estimate: $9.67 billion (Down from $10.37 billion YoY)
  • Valuation: P/E of 25.5x (Indicates premium valuation relative to peers)

Analyst Consensus & Recent Actions: The stock carries a Hold rating with an average price target of $174.54. Recent analyst moves include:

  • Tigress Financial: Buy (Raises target to $280 on May 8)
  • Daiwa Capital: Upgraded to Outperform (Raises target to $225 on May 8)
  • JP Morgan: Neutral (Raises target to $160 on April 30)

Price Action

QCOM Stock Price Activity: Qualcomm shares were down 13.97% at $204.35 at the time of publication on Tuesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Photo: Shutterstock